Alaves vs. Real Oviedo Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Alaves vs. Real Oviedo La Liga match on January 4, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Real Oviedo
1
:
1
Estadio Mendizorrotza
Alaves
Estadio Mendizorrotza
AlavesALA
Score Summary
Real OviedoOVI
L. Boye (69')
Soccer ball icon
C. Protesoni (88')
Red Card icon
F. Vinas (56')
Soccer ball icon
F. Vinas (76')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Alaves
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Real Oviedo
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: A. Manas replaces T. Martinez
  2. 88'
    Red Card
    C. Protesoni (Alaves) sent off for a second yellow card
  3. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Oviedo: A. Fores replaces S. Colombatto
  4. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Oviedo: J. Lopez replaces I. Chaira
  5. 79'
    Yellow Card
    C. Protesoni (Alaves) cautioned
  6. 78'
    Yellow Card
    R. Alhassane (Oviedo) cautioned
  7. 76'
    Red Card
    F. Vinas (Oviedo) sent off for a second yellow card
  8. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Oviedo: N. Fonseca replaces A. Reina
  9. 69'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Alaves by L. Boye
    1-1
  10. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: A. Rebbach replaces C. Alena
  11. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: C. Protesoni replaces P. Ibanez
  12. 56'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Oviedo by F. Vinas, assisted by I. Chaira
    1-0
  13. 54'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Oviedo: H. Hassan replaces J. Brekalo
  14. 54'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Oviedo: D. Carmo replaces E. Bailly
  15. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: L. Boye replaces D. Suarez
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: C. Vicente replaces Calebe
  17. 45'
    Yellow Card
    D. Suarez (Alaves) cautioned
  18. 10'
    Yellow Card
    F. Vinas (Oviedo) cautioned

Alaves vs. Real Oviedo: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Real Oviedo
  • Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Alaves -110, Real Oviedo +440, draw +200

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Alaves: 48.2%
  • Real Oviedo: 22.4%
  • Draw: 29.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Alaves 1-0 Real Oviedo (16.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Alaves vs. Real Oviedo? Prediction & correct score

Alaves is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 48.2%.

The most likely correct score is Alaves 1-0 Real Oviedo.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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