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Louisville vs. Baylor prediction: Louisville favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Louisville vs Baylor predictions for college basketball Saturday.
Baylor and Louisville will lock horns in men's college basketball action at Dickies Arena on Saturday, starting at 4:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Louisville as the most likely winner of the Louisville vs. Baylor game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Louisville vs. Baylor prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NCAA basketball game between Louisville and Baylor 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives Louisville a 68% chance of defeating Baylor. Our predicted final score has Louisville winning 80-75.
According to our model, Baylor (+7.5) has a 60% chance of covering the spread, while the 162.5-point over/under has a 55% chance of staying under.
Louisville vs. Baylor odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Louisville | Baylor |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -7.5 (-105) | +7.5 (-112) |
| Moneyline | -325 | +275 |
| Total | o162.5 (-105) | u162.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Louisville vs. Baylor picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Baylor +7.5 | -112 |
| Moneyline | Baylor | +275 |
| Total | Under 162.5 | -110 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Baylor +7.5 at the spread.
Louisville vs. Baylor game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's men's college basketball action between Baylor and Louisville at Dickies Arena is scheduled to begin at 4:00 PM ET.
- Who: Louisville vs. Baylor
- Date: Saturday, February 14, 2026
- Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
- Venue: Dickies Arena
Conclusion
We predict Louisville, with a 68% win probability, will likely beat Baylor on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Louisville vs. Baylor insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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