Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Texas State prediction: Why Texas State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/14/2026]

Men's college basketball action continues on Wednesday at 8:00 PM ET as Louisiana-Lafayette squares off with Texas State in men's college basketball action at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Texas State as the most likely winner of the Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Texas State game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Texas State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NCAA basketball game between Louisiana-Lafayette and Texas State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Texas State an 81% chance of beating Louisiana-Lafayette. Our predicted final score has Texas State winning 71-63.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and Louisiana-Lafayette and Texas State each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 130.5 points has a 55% chance of going over.

Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Texas State odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Texas State picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: