Kings vs. Capitals prediction: Why Washington is favored to win Monday's NHL matchup [11/17/2025]

The Washington Capitals and Los Angeles Kings will lock horns in the NHL at Capital One Arena on Monday, with puck drop at 7:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Capitals a slight edge with a 51% win probability over the Kings.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's Kings vs. Capitals matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Kings vs. Caps prediction: Who will win and cover?

As part of Dimers' NHL predictions coverage—and following a review of recent results—our pregame model has generated moneyline, puck line, and over/under probabilities for Monday's clash between the Kings and Capitals.

According to our model, the Kings (+1.5) have a 70% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 52% chance of going over.

Kings vs. Capitals odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Kings	Capitals
Puck Line	+1.5 (-245)	-1.5 (+210)
Moneyline	-102	-115
Total	o5.5 (-110)	u5.5 (-106)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Kings vs. Capitals picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Kings +1.5	-245
Moneyline	Kings	-102
Total	Over 5.5	-110

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 5.5 total goals.

Kings vs. Capitals player props

Who will score a goal in Kings vs. Capitals?

According to our model, Kevin Fiala is most likely to score an anytime goal in Kings vs. Capitals.

Our projections give Fiala a 35.5% chance of scoring a goal at Capital One Arena, while the star is a 7.4% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Los Angeles Kings

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Kevin Fiala	35.5%
Adrian Kempe	29.9%
Quinton Byfield	27.5%
Alex Laferriere	25.5%
Corey Perry	24.4%

Washington Capitals

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Alex Ovechkin	31.3%
Dylan Strome	31.0%
Tom Wilson	27.9%
Aliaksei Protas	26.5%
Connor McMichael	21.4%

First goal scorer predictions

Los Angeles Kings

Player	First Goal Probability
Kevin Fiala	7.4%
Adrian Kempe	5.9%
Corey Perry	4.9%
Quinton Byfield	4.6%
Alex Laferriere	4.6%

Washington Capitals

Player	First Goal Probability
Dylan Strome	6.9%
Alex Ovechkin	6.3%
Tom Wilson	5.4%
Aliaksei Protas	4.8%
Jakob Chychrun	3.7%

Kings vs. Caps game-day updates and essential details

Monday's action between the Capitals and Kings at Capital One Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Los Angeles Kings vs. Washington Capitals
• Date: Monday, November 17, 2025
• Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Capital One Arena

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Conclusion

We predict the Capitals, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Kings on Monday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Kings vs. Capitals insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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