Kings vs. Maple Leafs prediction: Why Los Angeles is favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [11/13/2025]

The Toronto Maple Leafs will square off with the Los Angeles Kings, in what is expected to be a tight NHL game, at Scotiabank Arena on Thursday, starting at 7:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Kings a slight edge with a 53% win probability over the Maple Leafs.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's Kings vs. Maple Leafs matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Kings vs. Maple Leafs prediction: Who will win and cover?

As part of Dimers' NHL predictions coverage—and following a review of recent results—our pregame model has generated moneyline, puck line, and over/under probabilities for Thursday's clash between the Kings and Maple Leafs.

According to our model, the Maple Leafs (+1.5) have a 68% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has a 51% chance of going over.

Kings vs. Maple Leafs odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Kings	Maple Leafs
Puck Line	-1.5 (+200)	+1.5 (-220)
Moneyline	-135	+120
Total	o6 (-105)	u6 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Kings vs. Maple Leafs picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Maple Leafs +1.5	-220
Moneyline	Maple Leafs	+120
Total	Over 6	-105

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Maple Leafs to win.

Kings vs. Maple Leafs player props

Who will score a goal in Kings vs. Maple Leafs?

According to our model, William Nylander is most likely to score an anytime goal in Kings vs. Maple Leafs.

Our projections give Nylander a 41.9% chance of scoring a goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the star is an 8.3% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Los Angeles Kings

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Kevin Fiala	34.8%
Adrian Kempe	34.4%
Quinton Byfield	26.8%
Corey Perry	25.1%
Alex Laferriere	24.5%

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
William Nylander	41.9%
John Tavares	38.9%
Matthew Knies	30.6%
Nicholas Robertson	20.9%
Bobby McMann	19.4%

First goal scorer predictions

Los Angeles Kings

Player	First Goal Probability
Kevin Fiala	7.1%
Adrian Kempe	6.5%
Quinton Byfield	5.3%
Corey Perry	4.4%
Alex Laferriere	4.4%

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	First Goal Probability
William Nylander	8.3%
John Tavares	7.8%
Matthew Knies	6.0%
Nicholas Robertson	3.8%
Bobby McMann	3.5%

Kings vs. Maple Leafs game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's game between the Maple Leafs and Kings at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Los Angeles Kings vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
• Date: Thursday, November 13, 2025
• Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Scotiabank Arena

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Conclusion

We predict the Kings, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Maple Leafs on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Kings vs. Maple Leafs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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