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Los Angeles FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes prediction, odds, MLS picks [4/19/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes predictions for MLS Sunday.
LAFC will face San Jose in MLS action at BMO Stadium on Sunday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLS model predicts LAFC as the most likely winner of the LAFC vs. San Jose game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Los Angeles FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's MLS matchup between LAFC and San Jose, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model suggests a 62.5% chance of LAFC winning, a 17.1% chance for San Jose, and a 20.4% chance of a draw.
Los Angeles FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes odds
We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Market | LAFC | San Jose | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -165 | +420 | +330 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Los Angeles FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | LAFC | -165 |
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is LAFC to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Los Angeles FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: Correct score predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-0 LAFC win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| LAF 2-0 SJE | 10.1% |
| LAF 2-1 SJE | 9.9% |
| LAF 1-0 SJE | 9.7% |
Los Angeles FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's action between LAFC and San Jose in MLS at BMO Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes
- Date: Sunday, April 19, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: BMO Stadium
Conclusion
According to our computer model, LAFC has a 62.5% win probability on Sunday, San Jose has a 17.1% win probability, and there is a 20.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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