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Los Angeles FC vs. Houston Dynamo prediction, odds, MLS picks [5/10/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo predictions for MLS Sunday.
LAFC and Houston are scheduled to meet in MLS action at BMO Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven MLS model projects LAFC as the most likely winner of the LAFC vs. Houston game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Los Angeles FC vs. Houston Dynamo prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's MLS matchup between LAFC and Houston, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently indicates a 61.7% chance of LAFC winning, a 16.6% chance for Houston, and a 21.7% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 53% chance of going over, according to our model.
Los Angeles FC vs. Houston Dynamo odds
We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| LAFC | Houston | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -155 | +430 | +310 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -135 | -105 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Los Angeles FC vs. Houston Dynamo picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | LAFC | -155 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | -105 |
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is LAFC to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Los Angeles FC vs. Houston Dynamo: Correct score predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 LAFC win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| LAF 1-0 HOU | 11.8% |
| LAF 2-0 HOU | 11.3% |
| LAF 1-1 HOU | 10.3% |
Los Angeles FC vs. Houston Dynamo game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's matchup between LAFC and Houston in MLS at BMO Stadium is scheduled to start at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles FC vs. Houston Dynamo
- Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: BMO Stadium
Conclusion
According to our computer model, LAFC has a 61.7% win probability on Sunday, Houston has a 16.6% win probability, and there is a 21.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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