Raiders vs. Commanders prediction: Why Washington is favored to win in NFL Week 3, 2025

The Washington Commanders will face the Las Vegas Raiders in NFL Week 3 action at Northwest Stadium on Sunday, starting at 1:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model predicts the Commanders as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Raiders-Commanders game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Commanders with a win probability of 63%, while the Raiders have 37%."

This gameday Raiders vs. Commanders betting preview builds on my Raiders vs. Commanders prediction that was published earlier in the week.

For further insights into today’s game, including the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Raiders vs. Commanders predictions page.

Raiders vs. Commanders Predictions

Since our Raiders-Commanders predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Raiders and Commanders 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Commanders a 63% chance of defeating the Raiders in Week 3 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Commanders winning 23-20.

According to our model, the Commanders (-2.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 43.5 points has a 56% chance of going over.

Raiders vs. Commanders odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Raiders	Commanders
Spread	+2.5 (+100)	-2.5 (-120)
Moneyline	+136	-155
Total	o43.5 (-110)	u43.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Raiders vs. Commanders picks and best bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Raiders vs. Commanders matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NFL picks and NFL best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Raiders vs. Commanders TD scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Raiders vs. Commanders?

According to our model, Las Vegas' Ashton Jeanty is most likely to score the first touchdown in Raiders vs. Commanders.

Our projections give Jeanty a 13.7% chance of getting in for six first at Northwest Stadium, while the Raiders running back is a 48.8% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

First touchdown scorer predictions

Las Vegas Raiders

Player	First TD Probability
Ashton Jeanty (RB)	13.7%
Brock Bowers (TE)	7.4%
Jakobi Meyers (WR)	7.1%

Washington Commanders

Player	First TD Probability
Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB)	10.7%
Deebo Samuel (WR)	7.8%
Terry McLaurin (WR)	7.5%

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Las Vegas Raiders

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Ashton Jeanty (RB)	48.8%
Brock Bowers (TE)	30.3%
Jakobi Meyers (WR)	29.1%

Washington Commanders

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB)	42.5%
Deebo Samuel (WR)	33.2%
Terry McLaurin (WR)	32.1%

Raiders vs Commanders player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Raiders and Commanders. For detailed projections, join Dimers Pro.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Head to our Raiders-Commanders page now to access every player prop projection.

Raiders vs. Commanders quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Raiders' Geno Smith is projected to throw for more yards than the Commanders' Marcus Mariota.

Raiders rushing

Ashton Jeanty, Geno Smith and Zamir White are projected to be the leading rushers for the Raiders.

Player	Position
Ashton Jeanty	RB
Geno Smith	QB
Zamir White	RB

Commanders rushing

Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Marcus Mariota and Chris Rodriguez are expected to lead the Commanders in rushing yards.

Player	Position
Jacory Croskey-Merritt	RB
Marcus Mariota	QB
Chris Rodriguez	RB

Raiders receiving

Jakobi Meyers, Brock Bowers, Tre Tucker, Dont'e Thornton and Michael Mayer are projected to top the receiving yards for the Raiders.

Player	Position
Jakobi Meyers	WR
Brock Bowers	TE
Tre Tucker	WR
Dont'e Thornton	WR
Michael Mayer	TE

Commanders receiving

Terry McLaurin, Deebo Samuel, Zach Ertz, Jaylin Lane and Jeremy McNichols are projected to lead the Commanders in receiving yards.

Player	Position
Terry McLaurin	WR
Deebo Samuel	WR
Zach Ertz	TE
Jaylin Lane	WR
Jeremy McNichols	RB

Raiders vs. Commanders game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 3 matchup between the Commanders and Raiders at Northwest Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Las Vegas Raiders vs. Washington Commanders
• Date: Sunday, September 21, 2025
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Northwest Stadium

Dimers' in-depth preview of Sunday's Raiders vs. Commanders matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Raiders vs. Commanders picks, be sure to check out the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

We predict the Commanders, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Raiders in Week 3 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Raiders vs. Commanders insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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