Las Vegas Raiders vs. Washington Commanders updated prediction featuring Ashton Jeanty, Jacory Croskey-Merritt [Week 3, 2025]

Dimers' latest NFL predictions are live for Washington Commanders and Las Vegas Raiders in Week 3, with our model giving the Commanders a 63% of winning against the Raiders on Sunday.

This update builds on our early Commanders-Raiders predictions, producing refreshed win probabilities, score projections, and TD predictions for Ashton Jeanty, Jacory Croskey-Merritt, and more.

For the most accurate simulation-based insights—including spread and total picks, touchdown probabilities, and the full list of player props—head to our Raiders vs. Commanders page.

What's changed? Las Vegas vs. Washington updated predictions

Our NFL predictions model has been re-run with the newest available data, creating a clearer picture of how this Raiders vs. Commanders matchup stacks up. Here are the updated forecasted:

• Straight Up Win Probabilities: Raiders 37%, Commanders 63%
• Predicted Final Score: Raiders 20-24 Commanders
• Spread: Raiders (+3.5) 56%, Commanders (-3.5) 44%
• Total Points (44.5): Over 55%, Under 45%

As of September 18, 2025, these Raiders-Commanders numbers reflect changes since our early-week simulation.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

New projections highlight the top candidates to find the end zone in Raiders-Commanders on Sunday:

Las Vegas Raiders

• Ashton Jeanty: 47.8% probability
• Brock Bowers: 33.0% probability
• Jakobi Meyers: 29.5% probability

Washington Commanders

• Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 43.2% probability
• Deebo Samuel: 37.1% probability
• Terry McLaurin: 36.6% probability

Raiders vs. Commanders latest odds

The best current odds from the top sportsbooks in the US:

• Spread: Raiders +3.5 (-118), Commanders -3.5 (-102)
• Moneyline: Raiders +150, Commanders -164
• Total: Over/Under 44.5 (-102/-118)

Odds are correct at time of publication and are subject to change—track live updates via our NFL odds page.

Raiders vs. Commanders Week 3 details

The NFL Week 3 matchup between the Commanders and Raiders at Northwest Stadium is scheduled for September 21, 2025.

• Who: Las Vegas Raiders vs. Washington Commanders
• Date: Sunday, September 21, 2025
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Northwest Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict the Commanders, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Raiders in Week 3 of the NFL season. Dimers.com will provide full game coverage closer to kickoff, so stay tuned for updates.

Enhanced by AI and automation, this article delivers quick, accurate insights on the Raiders vs. Commanders game, with human oversight maintaining high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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