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Kentucky vs. Florida prediction: Florida favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Kentucky vs Florida predictions for college basketball Saturday.
Florida will take on Kentucky in men's college basketball action at Exactech Arena at the Stephen C. O'Connell Center on Saturday, starting at 3:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Florida as the most likely winner of the Kentucky vs. Florida game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Kentucky vs. Florida prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NCAA basketball matchup between Kentucky and Florida 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Florida a 91% chance of defeating Kentucky. Our predicted final score has Florida winning 84-68.
According to our model, Florida (-12.5) has a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 154.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.
Kentucky vs. Florida odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Kentucky | Florida |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +12.5 (-105) | -12.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | +680 | -1000 |
| Total | o154.5 (-105) | u154.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Kentucky vs. Florida picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Florida -12.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Florida | -1000 |
| Total | Under 154.5 | -110 |
According to our best men's college basketball bets, the top play to make on this game is Florida -12.5 at the spread.
Kentucky vs. Florida game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's men's college basketball game between Florida and Kentucky at Exactech Arena at the Stephen C. O'Connell Center is scheduled to commence at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: Kentucky vs. Florida
- Date: Saturday, February 14, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: Exactech Arena at the Stephen C. O'Connell Center
Conclusion
We predict Florida, with a 91% win probability, will likely beat Kentucky on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Kentucky vs. Florida insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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