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Kentucky vs. Arkansas prediction: Why Arkansas is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/31/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Kentucky vs Arkansas predictions for college basketball Saturday.
Arkansas will square off with Kentucky in men's college basketball action at Bud Walton Arena on Saturday, commencing at 6:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Arkansas as the most likely winner of the Kentucky vs. Arkansas game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Kentucky vs. Arkansas prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NCAA basketball game between Kentucky and Arkansas 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Arkansas a 71% chance of defeating Kentucky. Our predicted final score has Arkansas winning 83-76.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and Kentucky and Arkansas each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 159.5-point over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Kentucky vs. Arkansas odds
We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Kentucky | Arkansas |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +6.5 (-106) | -6.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +250 | -295 |
| Total | o159.5 (-115) | u159.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Kentucky vs. Arkansas picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Kentucky +6.5 | -106 |
| Moneyline | Kentucky | +250 |
| Total | Under 159.5 | -105 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Kentucky to win.
Kentucky vs. Arkansas game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's men's college basketball matchup between Arkansas and Kentucky at Bud Walton Arena is scheduled to begin at 6:30 PM ET.
- Who: Kentucky vs. Arkansas
- Date: Saturday, January 31, 2026
- Time: 6:30 PM ET/3:30PM PT
- Venue: Bud Walton Arena
Conclusion
We predict Arkansas, with a 71% win probability, will likely beat Kentucky on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Kentucky vs. Arkansas insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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