...
...
Read Article
- More Betting
Iraq vs. Bolivia prediction: Why Iraq is favored to win World Cup 2026 qualifier [3/31/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Iraq vs Bolivia predictions for World Cup 2026 play-offs this Tuesday.
World Cup 2026 qualifying action continues on Tuesday at 11:00 PM ET as Bolivia squares off with Iraq at Estadio BBVA.
With the world's biggest sporting event just months away, qualification has reached the single-elimination stage.
This inter-confederation play-off final sees Iraq and Bolivia battle for a place in Group I at this summer’s World Cup, where they will join France, Senegal and Norway.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven World Cup 2026 model projects Iraq as the most likely winner of the Iraq vs. Bolivia game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Iraq vs. Bolivia prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's World Cup 2026 qualifier between Iraq and Bolivia, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model suggests a 38.8% chance of Iraq winning, a 33.7% chance for Bolivia, and a 27.5% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 56% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Bolivia vs. Iraq odds
We have researched the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Iraq | Bolivia | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +170 | +190 | +210 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +130 | -170 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Iraq vs. Bolivia picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Iraq | +170 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | +130 |
According to our best World Cup 2026 bets, the top play to make on this game is Iraq to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
As well as being the most likely winner of the game, the edge provided on Iraq's odds also provide the best value for bettors.
Iraq vs. Bolivia: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Iraq 1-1 Bolivia | 13% |
| Iraq 1-0 Bolivia | 11.2% |
| Iraq 0-1 Bolivia | 10.3% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 49.2% chance of both sides finding the net and a 50.8% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Iraq vs. Bolivia game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's FIFA World Cup game between Iraq and Bolivia at Estadio BBVA is scheduled to begin at 11:00 PM ET.
- Who: Iraq vs. Bolivia
- Date: Tuesday, March 31, 2026
- Time: 11:00 PM ET/8:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio BBVA
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Iraq has a 38.8% win probability on Tuesday, Bolivia has a 33.7% win probability, and there is a 27.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Iraq vs. Bolivia insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
Advertiser disclosure