Jun 2, 2026
South Korea vs. Czechia 2026 World Cup updated predictions following squad announcements
Read Article United States vs. Paraguay 2026 World Cup updated predictions following squad announcements
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get updated predictions and squad insights for the upcoming Paraguay vs United States FIFA World Cup game.
With official squads now confirmed for both nations, our experts have determined the updated win probabilities and betting picks for the Group D matchup between Paraguay and United States at SoFi Stadium on Friday, June 12.
Dimers Pro users have access to the full analysis below, where we build on our early Paraguay-United States predictions to detail the latest probabilities and best bets, and have a complete look at the official player lists for both teams.
Official World Cup squads: United States and Paraguay
Here are the confirmed rosters for both teams heading into the 2026 World Cup:
United States
Goalkeepers: Chris Brady (Chicago Fire), Matt Freese (New York City FC), Matt Turner (New England Revolution)
Defenders: Max Arfsten (Columbus Crew), Sergiño Dest (PSV Eindhoven), Alex Freeman (Villarreal), Mark McKenzie (Toulouse), Tim Ream (Charlotte FC), Chris Richards (Crystal Palace), Antonee Robinson (Fulham), Miles Robinson (FC Cincinnati), Joe Scally (Borussia Mönchengladbach), Auston Trusty (Celtic)
Midfielders: Tyler Adams (AFC Bournemouth), Sebastian Berhalter (Vancouver Whitecaps), Weston McKennie (Juventus), Cristian Roldan (Seattle Sounders), Brenden Aaronson (Leeds United), Malik Tillman (Bayer Leverkusen), Tim Weah (Marseille), Alejandro Zendejas (Club América)
Forwards: Christian Pulisic (AC Milan), Gio Reyna (Borussia Mönchengladbach), Folarin Balogun (AS Monaco), Ricardo Pepi (PSV Eindhoven), Haji Wright (Coventry City)
Manager: Mauricio Pochettino
Paraguay
Goalkeepers: Roberto Fernández (Cerro Porteño), Orlando Gill (San Lorenzo), Gastón Olveira (Olimpia)
Defenders: Gustavo Gómez (Palmeiras), Júnior Alonso (Atletico Mineiro), Fabián Balbuena (Gremio), Omar Alderete (Sunderland), Juan Caceres (Dynamo Moscow), Jose Canale (Lanus), Alexandro Maidana (Talleres), Gustavo Velázquez (Cerro Porteño)
Midfielders: Miguel Almirón (Atlanta United), Kaku (Al Ain), Andrés Cubas (Vancouver Whitecaps), Ramón Sosa (Palmeiras), Diego Gómez (Brighton & Hove Albion), Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo), Braian Ojeda (Orlando City), Matías Galarza (Atlanta United), Maurício (Palmeiras)
Forwards: Antonio Sanabria (Cremonese), Julio Enciso (Strasbourg), Gabriel Ávalos (Independiente), Alex Arce (Independiente Rivadavia), Isidro Pitta (Red Bull Bragantino), Gustavo Caballero (Portsmouth)
Manager: Gustavo Alfaro
Updated United States vs. Paraguay predictions and picks including most likely exact score
Leveraging our updated data and the confirmed roster updates, we have re-run the calculations for this clash. Here are the fine-tuned insights:
- Win probabilities: United States 50.9%, Paraguay 23.5%, Draw 25.6%
- Both teams to score: Yes 48.6%, No 51.4%
- Total goals (2.5): Over 45.8%, Under 54.2%
- Most likely final score: 1-0 United States win (12.6%)
These projections represent the highest probability outcomes based on the confirmed team sheets for United States and Paraguay.
United States vs. Paraguay picks and best bet
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | United States | +100 |
| Total | Over 2.5 | +125 |
We'll be providing 2026 World Cup best bets all tournament long, with the early edge here being on Over 2.5 total goals.
As well as being the most likely winner of the game, the edge on United States odds also provides the best value for bettors.
DraftKings promo for United States vs. Paraguay
If you're looking to get money down on the USMNT, we recommend DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users can bet $5 and receive $200 in bonus bets instantly.
Paraguay vs. United States World Cup details
The FIFA World Cup matchup between United States and Paraguay is scheduled for June 12, 2026, with the two teams kicking off their campaigns in what is going to be the biggest ever World Cup.
- Teams: United States vs. Paraguay
- Tournament stage: Group D
- Date: Friday, June 12, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: SoFi Stadium
- More previews: Latest World Cup news
Conclusion: United States vs. Paraguay prediction
Our World Cup predictions for this matchup suggest that United States to win is the most likely outcome, followed by a draw, with Paraguay to win as the least likely result.
For guidance on safer wagering habits, explore our Responsible Gambling resources.
Continue reading with Dimers Pro
Join now to unlock this article and get full access to our predictions and betting tools. Cancel anytime.
$0 for 3 days
then $14.99/week
Already a Pro member? Log in
New here? See everything Pro includes
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
Advertiser disclosure
