Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans updated prediction featuring Jonathan Taylor, Woody Marks [Week 18, 2026]

Dimers' latest NFL predictions are live for Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts in Week 18, with our model giving the Texans an 85% of winning.

As Sunday approaches, both teams have updated their injury reports. A few lineup decisions are still up in the air, and those could shape how each side approaches this AFC South matchup.

Since our early Texans-Colts predictions, we’ve updated the win probabilities, score projections, and TD odds for Jonathan Taylor, Woody Marks, and others.

For the full simulation breakdown—including spreads, totals, touchdown probabilities, and the full list of player props—check out our Colts vs. Texans page.

What's changed? Indianapolis vs. Houston updated predictions

Our NFL predictions model has been re-run with the newest available data, creating a clearer picture of how this Colts vs. Texans matchup stacks up. Here are the updated forecasts:

• Straight Up Win Probabilities: Colts 15%, Texans 85%
• Predicted Final Score: Colts 14-24 Texans
• Spread: Colts (+10.5) 54%, Texans (-10.5) 46%
• Total Points (38.5): Over 50%, Under 50%

As of January 1, 2026, these Colts-Texans calculations reflect changes since our early-week simulation.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

New NFL player projections for Week 18 highlight the top candidates to find the end zone in Colts-Texans on Sunday:

Indianapolis Colts

• Jonathan Taylor: 69.2% probability
• Alec Pierce: 26.7% probability
• Riley Leonard: 26.5% probability

Houston Texans

• Woody Marks: 47.3% probability
• Nico Collins: 36.8% probability
• Dalton Schultz: 23.2% probability

Colts vs. Texans latest odds

The best current odds from the top sportsbooks in the US:

• Spread: Colts +10.5 (-110), Texans -10.5 (-106)
• Moneyline: Colts +455, Texans -590
• Total: Over/Under 38.5 (-115/-102)

Odds are correct at time of publication and are subject to change—track live updates via our NFL odds page.

Colts vs. Texans Week 18 details

The NFL Week 18 game between the Texans and Colts at NRG Stadium is scheduled for January 4, 2026.

• Who: Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans
• Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: NRG Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict the Texans, with an 85% win probability, will likely beat the Colts in Week 18 of the NFL season. Dimers.com will provide full game coverage closer to kickoff, so stay tuned for updates.

Enhanced by AI and automation, this article delivers quick, accurate insights on the Colts vs. Texans matchup, with human oversight maintaining high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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