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Colts vs. Texans Preview and Prediction

Our Colts vs. Texans preview, analysis and predictions for January 4, 2026, are based on 10,000 NFL game simulations. See Dimers Pro for unlimited access.
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NFL
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NFL
Colts
Predicted score
15
:
25
Jan 4, 6PM NRG Stadium
Texans
Jan 4, 6PM NRG Stadium
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Updated: 1:45AM, Dec 30
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Colts IND
Colts + 10.5
Spread
54%
46%
Texans HOU
Player Props
Anytime Touchdown
First Touchdown
Colts
Probability
Jonathan Taylor
69.2%
Alec Pierce
26.7%
Michael Pittman
24.3%
Riley Leonard
Tyler Warren
Texans
Probability
Nico Collins
39.7%
Woody Marks
33.1%
Jayden Higgins
30.2%
Dalton Schultz
Jawhar Jordan
Projected Player Stats
Colts Starting QB
PlayerProj. Yards
R. Leonard
Texans Starting QB
PlayerProj. Yards
C. Stroud
Colts Rushing
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
J. Taylor
R. Leonard
A. Abdullah
Texans Rushing
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
W. Marks
J. Jordan
N. Chubb
Colts Receiving
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
A. Pierce
M. Pittman
T. Warren
J. Downs
J. Taylor
Texans Receiving
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
N. Collins
J. Higgins
D. Schultz
C. Kirk
X. Hutchinson

Game Prediction Article

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Colts vs. Texans: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Texans favored at -10.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 39.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Colts +490, Texans -590

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Colts: 15%
  • Texans: 85%

Dimers' predictive NFL model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NFL matchup is Colts 15-25 Texans.

This prediction is based on each team's average score and player stats following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Colts a win probability of 15%, while the Texans have a win probability of 85%.

Summary

The Colts face off against the Texans in the NFL at NRG Stadium on Sunday, January 4, 2026. On this page, you'll find our preview, analysis and data-driven projections for the game.

Our Colts vs. Texans predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NFL predictions and the best NFL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NFL picks, NFL props, NFL futures, NFL odds, and the latest NFL news.

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