Indianapolis Colts 2022 Win Total Prediction, Computer Picks and Super Bowl Odds

The 2022 NFL season is firmly on the horizon and over the coming weeks the Dimers team will break down the chances of each and every team, all vying for Super Bowl 57 glory in Glendale, Arizona come February.

Let's a look at the key factors to consider when betting on the Indianapolis Colts in the 2022 NFL season.

Head Coach Frank Reich’s team just missed the playoffs last year, but he’s hoping a pair of reinforcements who have earned high accolades will help elevate Indianapolis to the next level. 

Indianapolis Colts Win Total Prediction, Computer Picks and Super Bowl Odds

Indianapolis Colts

  • 2021 Record: 9-8, 2nd in the AFC South (missed playoffs) 
  • 2021 ATS: 10-7
  • Key off-season losses: T.Y. Hilton WR, Zach Pascal WR, Carson Wentz QB
  • Key off-season additions: Stephon Gilmore CB, Yannick Ngakoue DE, Matt Ryan QB, Alec Pierce WR, Jelani Woods TE, Rodney McLeod S, Bernhard Raimann OT
 

Indianapolis Colts 2022 Win Total - 9.5 

Former AP Defensive Player of the Year Stephon Gilmore arrives to bolster a secondary that gave up the second-most touchdowns in 2021. Gilmore is entering his age-32 season but older cornerbacks with savvy have typically thrived in new defensive coordinator Gus Bradley’s defense. 

On the other side of the ball, Indy has swapped out mistake-prone quarterback Carson Wentz with 2016 NFL MVP Matt Ryan. Ryan should bring an air of competence to the position, but will have to do so with a depleted complement of targets. Hilton and Pascal have walked in free agency, while tight end Jack Doyle has retired. 

The Houston Texans and Jacksonville Jaguars ought to show signs of improvement over a dismal 2021, but the AFC is a gauntlet of difficult match-ups. In a passing league, the Colts will have to face the likes of Patrick Mahomes, Dak Prescott, Justin Herbert and Russell Wilson. 

But in an effort to keep up with the heavyweights of the NFL, the Colts have upgraded at the most important position on offense while making moves to protect against the pass on defense — signing Gilmore, trading for Yannick Ngakoue to pair with Kwity Paye on the line, and drafting safety Nick Cross. 

All this adds up to Indianapolis looking like a solid contender for an AFC South title, and a 1-2 win improvement on 2021’s record. 

PICK: Over 9.5 wins 

DimersBOT: In our model's 10,000 simulations of the upcoming NFL season, the Colts averaged 10.09 wins per year. That means the Over is a good play and our data scientists also give Indianapolis a 56.3% chance of winning the division. This was already a good football team last year, but Ryan is going to take things to another level. 

 

Indianapolis Colts X-Factor - Matt Ryan, QB

After getting squeezed out of Atlanta, Matty Ice joins a Colts team that had set the bar low for quarterback performance last year. 

This will be a great test for the veteran to prove he can still elevate an offense. Mo Alie-Cox is a beast of a target at tight end, but there’s incredibly limited experience behind top wideouts Michael Pittman and Parris Campbell. 

The offensive line has new pieces and could take some time to gel. Ryan will need to show he can still make quick decisions early in the schedule, or the season could get away from the Colts in a hurry. 

Indianapolis Colts Super Bowl 57 Chances

Oddsmakers have placed Indianapolis in the middle of the pack in the AFC, giving the Colts a decent — but not great — chance to become Super Bowl champions. 

If everything goes right for Indianapolis from a health standpoint, the Colts could find themselves dancing under confetti in Glendale next February. But a lot of things would need to break right for Indianapolis to actually have a chance. Still, there's undoubtedly some value here. 

PICK: The DimersBOT gives the Colts a 3.8% chance of winning Super Bowl 57. That's the ninth-best of anybody in the league in our model. So, while it's not likely, it's not exactly crazy to think it'll happen. It might be worth a small dart throw. 

Indianapolis Colts 2022 Schedule 

  • September 11, 2022 - at Houston Texans
  • September 18, 2022 - at Jacksonville Jaguars
  • September 25, 2022 - Kansas City Chiefs
  • October 2, 2022 - Tennessee Titans
  • October 6, 2022 - at Denver Broncos
  • October 16, 2022 - Jacksonville Jaguars
  • October 23, 2022 - at Tennessee Titans
  • October 30, 2022 - Washington Commanders
  • November 6, 2022 - at New England Patriots
  • November 13, 2022 - at Las Vegas Raiders
  • November 20, 2022 - Philadelphia Eagles
  • November 28, 2022 - Pittsburgh Steelers
  • December 4, 2022 - at Dallas Cowboys
  • December 18, 2022 - at Minnesota Vikings
  • December 26, 2022 - Los Angeles Chargers
  • January 1, 2023 - at New York Giants
  • January 8, 2023 - Houston Texans
 
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