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Indiana vs. Michigan State prediction: Why Michigan State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/13/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Indiana vs Michigan State predictions for college basketball Tuesday.
Men's college basketball action continues on Tuesday at 7:00 PM ET as Indiana faces off with the favored Michigan State in men's college basketball action at Jack Breslin Students Events Center.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Michigan State as the most likely winner of the Indiana vs. Michigan State game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Indiana vs. Michigan State prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NCAA basketball matchup between Indiana and Michigan State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives Michigan State a 78% chance of beating Indiana. Our predicted final score has Michigan State winning 76-68.
According to our model, Michigan State (-6.5) has a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the 145.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of going over.
Indiana vs. Michigan State odds
We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Indiana | Michigan State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +6.5 (-106) | -6.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +245 | -285 |
| Total | o145.5 (-105) | u145.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Indiana vs. Michigan State picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Michigan State -6.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Michigan State | -285 |
| Total | Over 145.5 | -105 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Michigan State -6.5 at the spread.
Indiana vs. Michigan State game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's men's college basketball action between Michigan State and Indiana at Jack Breslin Students Events Center is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Indiana vs. Michigan State
- Date: Tuesday, January 13, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Jack Breslin Students Events Center
Conclusion
We predict Michigan State, with a 78% win probability, will likely beat Indiana on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Indiana vs. Michigan State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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