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Indiana vs. Illinois prediction: Why Illinois is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/15/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Indiana vs Illinois predictions for college basketball Sunday.
Illinois will face Indiana in men's college basketball action at State Farm Center on Sunday, commencing at 1:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Illinois as the most likely winner of the Indiana vs. Illinois game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Indiana vs. Illinois prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NCAA basketball game between Indiana and Illinois 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Illinois an 84% chance of defeating Indiana. Our predicted final score has Illinois winning 83-72.
According to our model, Illinois (-8.5) has a 59% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 153.5 points has a 53% chance of going over.
Indiana vs. Illinois odds
We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Indiana | Illinois |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +8.5 (-102) | -8.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | +365 | -450 |
| Total | o153.5 (-110) | u153.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Indiana vs. Illinois picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Illinois -8.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Illinois | -450 |
| Total | Over 153.5 | -110 |
According to our best men's college basketball bets, the top play to make on this game is Illinois -8.5 at the spread.
Indiana vs. Illinois game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's men's college basketball matchup between Illinois and Indiana at State Farm Center is scheduled to begin at 1:00 PM ET.
- Who: Indiana vs. Illinois
- Date: Sunday, February 15, 2026
- Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: State Farm Center
Conclusion
We predict Illinois, with an 84% win probability, will likely beat Indiana on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Indiana vs. Illinois insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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