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Indiana State vs. Valparaiso prediction: Valparaiso favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/15/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Indiana State vs Valparaiso predictions for college basketball Sunday.
Men's college basketball action continues on Sunday at 2:00 PM ET as Indiana State squares off with Valparaiso in men's college basketball action at Athletics-Recreation Center.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model projects Valparaiso as the most likely winner of the Indiana State vs. Valparaiso game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Indiana State vs. Valparaiso prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NCAA basketball game between Indiana State and Valparaiso 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Valparaiso a 63% chance of defeating Indiana State. Our predicted final score has Valparaiso winning 75-71.
According to our model, Indiana State (+4.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 145.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of going over.
Indiana State vs. Valparaiso odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Indiana State | Valparaiso |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +4.5 (-108) | -4.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +188 | -210 |
| Total | o145.5 (-105) | u145.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Indiana State vs. Valparaiso picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Indiana State +4.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Indiana State | +188 |
| Total | Over 145.5 | -105 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Indiana State +4.5 at the spread.
Indiana State vs. Valparaiso game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's men's college basketball game between Valparaiso and Indiana State at Athletics-Recreation Center is scheduled to commence at 2:00 PM ET.
- Who: Indiana State vs. Valparaiso
- Date: Sunday, February 15, 2026
- Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00AM PT
- Venue: Athletics-Recreation Center
Conclusion
We predict Valparaiso, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat Indiana State on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Indiana State vs. Valparaiso insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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