Indiana State vs. Murray State prediction: Why Murray State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/17/2026]

Murray State and Indiana State will meet in men's college basketball action at CFSB Center on Saturday, with tipoff at 4:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Murray State as the most likely winner of the Indiana State vs. Murray State game.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Indiana State vs. Murray State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NCAA basketball matchup between Indiana State and Murray State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Murray State an 88% chance of beating Indiana State. Our predicted final score has Murray State winning 87-73.

According to our model, Murray State (-13.5) has a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 164.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.

Indiana State vs. Murray State odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Indiana State vs. Murray State picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: