Illinois State vs. Valparaiso prediction: Illinois State favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/7/2026]

Valparaiso and Illinois State will meet in men's college basketball action at Athletics-Recreation Center on Wednesday, with tipoff at 8:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model projects Illinois State as the most likely winner of the Illinois State vs. Valparaiso game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Illinois State vs. Valparaiso prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NCAA basketball game between Illinois State and Valparaiso 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Illinois State a 76% chance of beating Valparaiso. Our predicted final score has Illinois State winning 74-66.

According to our model, Illinois State (-6.5) has a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 138.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of going over.

Illinois State vs. Valparaiso odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Illinois State vs. Valparaiso picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: