Texans vs. Chargers prediction: Chargers favored to win in NFL Week 17 [2025]

The Los Angeles Chargers and Houston Texans are scheduled to meet in Week 17 of the NFL season at SoFi Stadium on Saturday, starting at 4:30 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model predicts the Chargers as the most likely winner of the Texans vs. Chargers game.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Texans vs. Chargers prediction: Who will win and cover?

Since our Texans-Chargers predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NFL game between the Texans and Chargers 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Chargers a 57% chance of beating the Texans in Week 17 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Chargers winning 21-19.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Texans and Chargers each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 40.5-point over/under has a 55% chance of going over.

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 17 straight up picks.

Texans vs. Chargers odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Texans	Chargers
Spread	+1.5 (-115)	-1.5 (-105)
Moneyline	+100	-116
Total	o40.5 (-112)	u40.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Texans vs. Chargers picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Chargers -1.5	-105
Moneyline	Chargers	-116
Total	Over 40.5	-112

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Chargers to win.

Texans vs. Chargers TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Texans vs. Chargers?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, Omarion Hampton is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Texans vs. Chargers.

Our projections give Hampton a 46.3% chance of getting in for six at SoFi Stadium, while the running back is a 12.4% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Houston Texans

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Woody Marks (RB)	35.2%
Nico Collins (WR)	35.1%
Dalton Schultz (TE)	22.5%
Jayden Higgins (WR)	19.1%
Jawhar Jordan (RB)	15.9%

Los Angeles Chargers

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Omarion Hampton (RB)	46.3%
Ladd McConkey (WR)	28.3%
Quentin Johnston (WR)	26.2%
Keenan Allen (WR)	23.9%
Oronde Gadsden (TE)	19.6%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Houston Texans

Player	First TD Probability
Woody Marks (RB)	8.4%
Nico Collins (WR)	8.4%
Dalton Schultz (TE)	4.9%
Jayden Higgins (WR)	4.1%
Jawhar Jordan (RB)	3.4%

Los Angeles Chargers

Player	First TD Probability
Omarion Hampton (RB)	12.4%
Ladd McConkey (WR)	6.6%
Quentin Johnston (WR)	6.0%
Keenan Allen (WR)	5.4%
Oronde Gadsden (TE)	4.4%

Texans vs Chargers player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Texans and Chargers. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 17 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Texans' C.J. Stroud is projected for 225 passing yards. The Chargers' Justin Herbert is expected to throw for 217 yards.

Player	Proj. Pass Yards
C.J. Stroud (HOU)	225
Justin Herbert (LAC)	217

Texans rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Woody Marks	52
Nick Chubb	15
C.J. Stroud	15

Chargers rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Omarion Hampton	71
Justin Herbert	26
Hassan Haskins	10

Texans receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Nico Collins	69
Dalton Schultz	43
Jayden Higgins	32
Christian Kirk	24
Xavier Hutchinson	17

Chargers receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Ladd McConkey	47
Keenan Allen	40
Quentin Johnston	39
Oronde Gadsden	33
Tre' Harris	26

Texans vs. Chargers game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 17 matchup between the Chargers and Texans at SoFi Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:30 PM ET.

• Who: Houston Texans vs. Los Angeles Chargers
• Date: Saturday, December 27, 2025
• Time: 4:30 PM ET/1:30PM PT
• Venue: SoFi Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict the Chargers, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Texans in Week 17 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Texans vs. Chargers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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