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Texans vs. Chargers prediction: Chargers favored to win in NFL Week 17 [2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers predictions for NFL Saturday.
The Los Angeles Chargers will face the Houston Texans in NFL Week 17 action at SoFi Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 4:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model predicts the Chargers as the most likely winner of the Texans vs. Chargers game.
This article offers further insights into this week's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Texans vs. Chargers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Since our Texans-Chargers predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NFL matchup between the Texans and Chargers 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Chargers a 57% chance of beating the Texans in Week 17 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Chargers winning 20-19.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Texans and Chargers each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 39.5 points has a 54% chance of going over.
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 17 straight up picks.
Texans vs. Chargers odds
We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Texans | Chargers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +1.5 (-105) | -1.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +105 | -118 |
| Total | o39.5 (-108) | u39.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Texans vs. Chargers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Texans +1.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Chargers | -118 |
| Total | Over 39.5 | -108 |
According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Chargers to win.
Texans vs. Chargers TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Texans vs. Chargers?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, Omarion Hampton is most likely to score an anytime TD in Texans vs. Chargers.
Our projections give Hampton a 42.9% chance of scoring a TD at SoFi Stadium, while the running back is a 10.9% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Houston Texans
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Nico Collins (WR) | 35.4% |
| Woody Marks (RB) | 34.4% |
| Dalton Schultz (TE) | 22.7% |
| Jayden Higgins (WR) | 19.4% |
| Jawhar Jordan (RB) | 15.4% |
Los Angeles Chargers
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Omarion Hampton (RB) | 42.9% |
| Ladd McConkey (WR) | 28.3% |
| Quentin Johnston (WR) | 25.8% |
| Keenan Allen (WR) | 23.6% |
| Oronde Gadsden (TE) | 19.8% |
First touchdown scorer predictions
Houston Texans
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Nico Collins (WR) | 8.4% |
| Woody Marks (RB) | 8.1% |
| Dalton Schultz (TE) | 5.0% |
| Jayden Higgins (WR) | 4.2% |
| Jawhar Jordan (RB) | 3.2% |
Los Angeles Chargers
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Omarion Hampton (RB) | 10.9% |
| Ladd McConkey (WR) | 6.5% |
| Quentin Johnston (WR) | 5.8% |
| Keenan Allen (WR) | 5.2% |
| Oronde Gadsden (TE) | 4.3% |
Texans vs Chargers player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Texans and Chargers. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 17 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Texans' C.J. Stroud is projected for 225 passing yards, while the Chargers' Justin Herbert is expected to throw for 215 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| C.J. Stroud (HOU) | 225 |
| Justin Herbert (LAC) | 215 |
Texans rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Woody Marks | 52 |
| Nick Chubb | 18 |
| C.J. Stroud | 15 |
Chargers rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Omarion Hampton | 65 |
| Justin Herbert | 26 |
| Kimani Vidal | 23 |
Texans receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Nico Collins | 67 |
| Dalton Schultz | 44 |
| Jayden Higgins | 34 |
| Christian Kirk | 24 |
| Xavier Hutchinson | 18 |
Chargers receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Ladd McConkey | 46 |
| Keenan Allen | 39 |
| Quentin Johnston | 39 |
| Oronde Gadsden | 33 |
| Tre' Harris | 26 |
Texans vs. Chargers game-day updates and essential details
The NFL Week 17 matchup between the Chargers and Texans at SoFi Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:30 PM ET.
- Who: Houston Texans vs. Los Angeles Chargers
- Date: Saturday, December 27, 2025
- Time: 4:30 PM ET/1:30PM PT
- Venue: SoFi Stadium
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Conclusion
We predict the Chargers, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Texans in Week 17 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Texans vs. Chargers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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