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Rockets vs. Warriors prediction: Golden State to win, Stephen Curry projected for 28 points in Wednesday's NBA Cup game [11/26/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors predictions for NBA Wednesday.

Houston Rockets-Golden State Warriors Predictions and Game Preview.
Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors NBA prediction for Wednesday, November 26, 2025.

The Golden State Warriors and Houston Rockets will meet in NBA Cup action at Chase Center on Wednesday, starting at 10:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Warriors as the most likely winner of the Rockets vs. Warriors game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Warriors lineup will feature stars like Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler and Moses Moody, while the Rockets will be led by Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson and Jabari Smith.

This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Rockets vs. Warriors prediction: Who will win NBA Cup game?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NBA game between the Rockets and Warriors 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Warriors a 59% chance of defeating the Rockets. Our predicted final score has the Warriors winning 113-110.

According to our model, the Warriors (-2.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 223.5 points has a 51% chance of going over.

 

Rockets vs. Warriors odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Rockets Warriors
Spread +2.5 (-110) -2.5 (-108)
Moneyline +115 -135
Total o223.5 (-110) u223.5 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Rockets vs. Warriors picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Warriors -2.5 -108
Moneyline Warriors -135
Total Over 223.5 -110

According to our NBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Warriors to win.

 

Rockets vs. Warriors player props

NBA prop bets are a popular way to wager on Wednesday's Houston vs. Golden State matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Chase Center.

Alperen Sengun is expected to lead the Rockets with 22 points, 11 rebounds and 6 assists, while Stephen Curry is projected to have 28 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists for the Warriors.

Stephen Curry 2025.
Stephen Curry is projected to score 28 points tonight.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.

Rockets prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Rockets are:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
Alperen Sengun 22 11 6 1 51
Amen Thompson 18 7 6 1 42
Jabari Smith 16 7 2 2 32
Reed Sheppard 13 4 4 3 31
Aaron Holiday 11 2 2 2 21

Warriors prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Warriors:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
Stephen Curry 28 4 5 5 48
Jimmy Butler 20 6 5 1 40
Moses Moody 12 3 2 2 24
B. Podziemski 11 5 3 2 26
Draymond Green 9 5 6 2 32

Rockets vs. Warriors game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's game between the Warriors and Rockets at Chase Center is scheduled to begin at 10:00PM ET.

 

Conclusion

We predict the Warriors, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Rockets on Wednesday, with Alperen Sengun projected for a game-high 51 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Rockets vs. Warriors insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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