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Rockets vs. Warriors Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rockets vs. Warriors NBA game on November 26, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
104
100
Nov 27, 3AM Chase Center
Nov 27, 3AM Chase Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rockets | 22 | 25 | 27 | 30 | 104 |
Warriors | 25 | 34 | 17 | 24 | 100 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
98%
2%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rockets | 22 | 25 | 27 | 30 | 104 |
Warriors | 25 | 34 | 17 | 24 | 100 |
Q4 00:00 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:06 Warriors makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:16 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:52 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:13 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:27 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:52 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:13 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:28 Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:58 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
End of 4th Quarter.
Rockets 60 second timeout
Warriors personal foul
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard)
+1
Reed Sheppard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
103-100
+1
Reed Sheppard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
104-100
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
102-100
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Rockets personal foul
Warriors personal foul
Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Rockets offensive rebound
Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
102-97
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
101-95
Warriors personal foul
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
102-95
Warriors turnover
Warriors personal foul
Reed Sheppard misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Amen Thompson, Aaron Holiday, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard)
Rockets offensive rebound
+1
Reed Sheppard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
100-95
Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Will Richard, Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green)
Warriors 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Jabari Smith Jr.)
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Draymond Green)
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 2
99-94
Rockets personal foul
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
99-95
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
99-93
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
97-93
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
97-91
Warriors turnover
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Jump ball. (Alperen Sengun gains possession)
Rockets defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Stephen Curry turnover (offensive foul)
Warriors 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody, Draymond Green)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
95-91
Rockets personal foul
Brandin Podziemski misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Brandin Podziemski misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Warriors offensive rebound
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Rockets personal foul
Amen Thompson turnover (offensive foul)
Rockets 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Warriors 60 second timeout
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
92-91
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
93-91
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
91-91
Will Richard defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Warriors turnover
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
91-89
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Rockets turnover
Aaron Holiday offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
88-89
Will Richard offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Will Richard defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
88-87
Draymond Green offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Moses Moody offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Moses Moody offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Brandin Podziemski misses two point jump shot
Rockets defensive rebound
Warriors 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Draymond Green)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
88-85
Rockets personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
86-84
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
86-85
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Jae'Sean Tate defensive rebound
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green)
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard)
Buddy Hield misses three point jump shot
Buddy Hield defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
86-83
Rockets personal foul
Rockets turnover
Warriors personal foul
Rockets personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
86-79
+1
Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
86-80
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Buddy Hield, Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green)
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
86-78
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
83-78
Rockets personal foul
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
83-76
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
81-76
Jimmy Butler III offensive rebound
Rockets personal foul
Rockets 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Jimmy Butler III turnover
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
79-76
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
77-76
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, JD Davison, Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Jae'Sean Tate)
Warriors lineup change (Pat Spencer, Will Richard, Buddy Hield, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
74-76
Rockets personal foul
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, JD Davison, Aaron Holiday, Jabari Smith Jr., Jae'Sean Tate)
Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Buddy Hield, Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
74-74
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
72-74
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Jae'Sean Tate defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
70-74
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
69-74
Rockets lineup change (Clint Capela, Aaron Holiday, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Jae'Sean Tate)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Clint Capela offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Gui Santos turnover (offensive foul)
Rockets defensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
Rockets 60 second timeout
Jabari Smith Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Buddy Hield, Jimmy Butler III, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski)
Rockets offensive rebound
+1
Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
68-74
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Clint Capela offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Amen Thompson misses two point tip layup
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Reed Sheppard offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 2
67-73
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
67-74
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Buddy Hield, Stephen Curry, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski)
Rockets lineup change (Amen Thompson, Clint Capela, Aaron Holiday, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard)
Quinten Post offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
67-72
Warriors turnover
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
64-72
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
62-72
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
+1
Aaron Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 2
62-70
Aaron Holiday misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+1
Aaron Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 2
60-70
+1
Aaron Holiday makes regular free throw 2 of 2
61-70
Reed Sheppard personal foul (Quinten Post draws the foul)
Quinten Post misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Warriors offensive rebound
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Clint Capela, Aaron Holiday, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard)
Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Stephen Curry, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody)
+1
Quinten Post makes regular free throw 2 of 2
59-70
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
59-69
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
59-67
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Aaron Holiday, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard)
Warriors turnover
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Amen Thompson offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Draymond Green)
Warriors personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Draymond Green)
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
56-67
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
53-67
Rockets turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
53-65
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
53-63
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Josh Okogie offensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
50-63
Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Josh Okogie turnover (bad pass)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
49-63
Warriors offensive rebound
Rockets personal foul
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
49-61
Josh Okogie offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Will Richard offensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
47-61
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Stephen Curry blocks Reed Sheppard's three point jump shot
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard)
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody, Draymond Green)
+2
Draymond Green makes two point running layup (Stephen Curry assists)
47-59
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Josh Okogie turnover (bad pass)
Reed Sheppard misses three point stepback jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
47-59
Warriors personal foul
Clint Capela offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
46-55
Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Will Richard, Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green)
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 1
47-59
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Jae'Sean Tate)
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Jae'Sean Tate)
Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Will Richard, Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green)
Alperen Sengun misses two point jump shot
+3
Stephen Curry makes three point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)
44-55
Alperen Sengun personal foul (Draymond Green draws the foul)
Alperen Sengun turnover (offensive foul)
+3
Will Richard makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler III assists)
46-55
Instant replay (Request)
Amen Thompson personal foul (Will Richard draws the foul)
+1
Will Richard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
44-55
Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Buddy Hield, Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green)
+1
Will Richard makes flagrant free throw 2 of 2
46-55
Rockets 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Alperen Sengun, Clint Capela, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard)
Will Richard offensive rebound
Brandin Podziemski misses three point jump shot
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Brandin Podziemski misses two point jump shot
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Clint Capela misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
46-55
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
46-55
Clint Capela offensive rebound
Jabari Smith Jr. misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
47-59
Quinten Post offensive rebound
Moses Moody misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
42-43
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
+2
Reed Sheppard makes two point running layup
40-43
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Quinten Post misses three point jump shot
+2
Jabari Smith Jr. makes two point fadeaway jump shot
38-43
+2
Moses Moody makes two point driving reverse layup (Quinten Post assists)
36-43
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Quinten Post blocks Josh Okogie's two point jump shot
Stephen Curry turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Jabari Smith Jr. personal foul (Brandin Podziemski draws the foul)
Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
Moses Moody misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Amen Thompson makes two point driving bank hook shot
36-41
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (Quinten Post, Will Richard, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody)
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses two point floating jump shot
Gary Payton II offensive rebound
Reed Sheppard blocks Stephen Curry's three point stepback jump shot
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Josh Okogie misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Moses Moody shooting foul (Josh Okogie draws the foul)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Rockets vs. Warriors: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Rockets vs. Warriors
- Date: Wednesday, November 26, 2025
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Chase Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Warriors favored at -3.5
- Total (Over/Under): 224.5
- Moneyline Odds: Rockets +143, Warriors -143
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Rockets: 37%
- Warriors: 63%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Rockets 110-114 Warriors.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rockets a win probability of 37%, while the Warriors have a win probability of 63%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Rockets in the NBA game at Chase Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Rockets vs. Warriors predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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