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Read Article Astros vs. Rangers Prediction: Texas Predicted to Win Friday's MLB Matchup [5/16/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Our expert prediction for Friday's Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers matchup.
The Texas Rangers will square off with the Houston Astros in MLB action at Globe Life Field on Friday, starting at 8:05PM ET.
Nathan Eovaldi (4-2, 1.78 ERA) will start for the Rangers, up against Lance McCullers (0-1, 15.75 ERA) for the Astros.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Rangers as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Employing the latest data, our experts simulated Friday's Houston-Texas game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict the Rangers' chance of winning is 62%, while the Astros' is 38%."
For a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Astros vs. Rangers predictions page.
Get 20% off Dimers Pro With Code 20BASEBALL Get Dimers Pro Rangers vs. Astros Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's MLB game between the Astros and Rangers 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Rangers a 62% chance of beating the Astros.
According to our model, the Astros (+1.5) have a 56% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8 runs has a 53% chance of going over.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 12:28AM, May 17
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Lance McCullers 0-1, 15.75 ERA
Nathan Eovaldi 4-2, 1.78 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
Astros vs. Rangers Odds [5/16/2025]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Astros | Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-120) | -1.5 (+105) |
| Moneyline | +166 | -198 |
| Total | o8 (-115) | u8 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Astros vs. Rangers Picks and Best Bets
Our model's biggest edge in today's Astros vs. Rangers matchup is on the total.
Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
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Astros vs. Rangers Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Friday's MLB matchup between the Rangers and Astros at Globe Life Field is scheduled to begin at 8:05PM ET.
- Who: Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers
- Date: Friday, May 16, 2025
- Time: 8:05PM ET/5:05PM PT
- Venue: Globe Life Field
Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Friday's Astros vs. Rangers matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Houston vs. Texas picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
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Conclusion
We predict the Rangers, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat the Astros on Friday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Astros vs. Rangers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on MLB
Stay up-to-date with the latest MLB news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds provide the latest probabilities for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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