Hawaii vs. Cal Poly prediction: Why Hawaii is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/15/2026]

Cal Poly will face the favored Hawaii in men's college basketball action at Robert A. Mott Athletics Center on Thursday, commencing at 10:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Hawaii as the most likely winner of the Hawaii vs. Cal Poly game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Hawaii vs. Cal Poly prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NCAA basketball game between Hawaii and Cal Poly 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Hawaii a 69% chance of beating Cal Poly. Our predicted final score has Hawaii winning 81-76.

According to our model, Cal Poly (+5.5) has a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 156.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of going over.

Hawaii vs. Cal Poly odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Hawaii vs. Cal Poly picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: