Packers vs. Giants prediction: Green Bay favored to win in NFL Week 11, 2025

The New York Giants and Green Bay Packers will lock horns in Week 11 of the NFL season at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff at 1:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model predicts the Packers as the most likely winner of the Packers vs. Giants game.

This article offers further insights into this week's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Packers vs. Giants prediction: Who will win and cover?

Since our Packers-Giants predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Packers and Giants 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Packers a 76% chance of beating the Giants in Week 11 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Packers winning 24-17.

According to our model, the Giants (+7.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 42.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 11 straight up picks.

Packers vs. Giants odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Packers	Giants
Spread	-7.5 (-102)	+7.5 (-112)
Moneyline	-375	+320
Total	o42.5 (-105)	u42.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Packers vs. Giants picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Giants +7.5	-112
Moneyline	Giants	+320
Total	Under 42.5	-110

According to our best NFL bets, the top play to make on this game is Giants +7.5 at the spread.

Packers vs. Giants TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Packers vs. Giants?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 11, Josh Jacobs is most likely to score an anytime TD in Packers vs. Giants.

Our projections give Jacobs a 64.9% chance of getting in for six at MetLife Stadium, while the running back is a 19.8% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Green Bay Packers

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Josh Jacobs (RB)	64.9%
Romeo Doubs (WR)	30.3%
Christian Watson (WR)	21.9%
Luke Musgrave (TE)	18.7%
Dontayvion Wicks (WR)	17.2%

New York Giants

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Wan'Dale Robinson (WR)	28.9%
Theo Johnson (TE)	26.2%
Tyrone Tracy (RB)	26.0%
Devin Singletary (RB)	23.7%
Gunner Olszewski (WR)	12.4%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Green Bay Packers

Player	First TD Probability
Josh Jacobs (RB)	19.8%
Romeo Doubs (WR)	6.9%
Christian Watson (WR)	4.7%
Luke Musgrave (TE)	3.9%
Dontayvion Wicks (WR)	3.6%

New York Giants

Player	First TD Probability
Wan'Dale Robinson (WR)	6.6%
Theo Johnson (TE)	5.9%
Tyrone Tracy (RB)	5.8%
Devin Singletary (RB)	5.2%
Gunner Olszewski (WR)	2.6%

Packers vs Giants player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Packers and Giants. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 11 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Packers' Jordan Love is projected for 224 passing yards, while the Giants' Jameis Winston is expected to throw for 226 yards.

Player	Proj. Pass Yards
Jordan Love (GB)	224
Jameis Winston (NYG)	226

Packers rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Josh Jacobs	86
Emanuel Wilson	22
Jordan Love	13

Giants rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Tyrone Tracy	44
Devin Singletary	30
Jameis Winston	13

Packers receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Romeo Doubs	54
Christian Watson	44
Luke Musgrave	31
Matthew Golden	29
Dontayvion Wicks	27

Giants receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Wan'Dale Robinson	62
Theo Johnson	43
Daniel Bellinger	20
Tyrone Tracy	20
Ray-Ray McCloud	18

Packers vs. Giants game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 11 action between the Giants and Packers at MetLife Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Green Bay Packers vs. New York Giants
• Date: Sunday, November 16, 2025
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: MetLife Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict the Packers, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat the Giants in Week 11 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Packers vs. Giants insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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