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Packers vs. Broncos prediction: Green Bay favored to win in NFL Week 15 [2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Green Bay Packers vs Denver Broncos predictions for NFL Sunday.
The Denver Broncos will face the Green Bay Packers in NFL Week 15 action at Empower Field at Mile High on Sunday, starting at 4:25PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model predicts the Packers as the most likely winner of the Packers vs. Broncos game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Packers vs. Broncos prediction: Who will win and cover?
Since our Packers-Broncos predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL game between the Packers and Broncos 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Packers a 59% chance of defeating the Broncos in Week 15 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Packers winning 21-19.
According to our model, the Packers (-1.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 42.5 points has a 54% chance of staying under.
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 15 straight up picks.
Packers vs. Broncos odds
We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Packers | Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -1.5 (-108) | +1.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | -118 | +102 |
| Total | o42.5 (-108) | u42.5 (-106) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Packers vs. Broncos picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Packers -1.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Packers | -118 |
| Total | Under 42.5 | -106 |
According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Packers to win.
Packers vs. Broncos TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Packers vs. Broncos?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 15, Josh Jacobs is most likely to score an anytime TD in Packers vs. Broncos.
Our projections give Jacobs a 54.5% chance of scoring a TD at Empower Field at Mile High, while the running back is a 13.5% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Green Bay Packers
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs (RB) | 54.5% |
| Christian Watson (WR) | 30.2% |
| Emanuel Wilson (RB) | 26.0% |
| Romeo Doubs (WR) | 25.7% |
| Jayden Reed (WR) | 20.7% |
Denver Broncos
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| RJ Harvey (RB) | 45.5% |
| Courtland Sutton (WR) | 29.7% |
| Troy Franklin (WR) | 26.2% |
| Marvin Mims (WR) | 20.7% |
| Bo Nix (QB) | 17.4% |
First touchdown scorer predictions
Green Bay Packers
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs (RB) | 13.5% |
| Christian Watson (WR) | 6.2% |
| Emanuel Wilson (RB) | 5.2% |
| Romeo Doubs (WR) | 5.1% |
| Jayden Reed (WR) | 4.0% |
Denver Broncos
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| RJ Harvey (RB) | 10.9% |
| Courtland Sutton (WR) | 6.3% |
| Troy Franklin (WR) | 5.4% |
| Marvin Mims (WR) | 4.1% |
| Bo Nix (QB) | 3.4% |
Packers vs Broncos player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Packers and Broncos. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 15 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Packers' Jordan Love is projected for 228 passing yards. The Broncos' Bo Nix is expected to throw for 231 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| Jordan Love (GB) | 228 |
| Bo Nix (DEN) | 231 |
Packers rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs | 64 |
| Emanuel Wilson | 24 |
| Jordan Love | 11 |
Broncos rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| RJ Harvey | 51 |
| Bo Nix | 20 |
| Jaleel McLaughlin | 19 |
Packers receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Christian Watson | 58 |
| Jayden Reed | 41 |
| Romeo Doubs | 38 |
| Luke Musgrave | 20 |
| Josh Jacobs | 16 |
Broncos receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Courtland Sutton | 55 |
| Troy Franklin | 40 |
| Evan Engram | 31 |
| Marvin Mims | 24 |
| RJ Harvey | 23 |
Packers vs. Broncos game-day updates and essential details
The NFL Week 15 game between the Broncos and Packers at Empower Field at Mile High is scheduled to begin at 4:25PM ET.
- Who: Green Bay Packers vs. Denver Broncos
- Date: Sunday, December 14, 2025
- Time: 4:25PM ET/1:25PM PT
- Venue: Empower Field at Mile High
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Conclusion
We predict the Packers, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Broncos in Week 15 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Packers vs. Broncos insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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