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Warriors vs. Suns prediction: Golden State to win, Stephen Curry projected for big game in Thursday's NBA matchup [12/18/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns predictions for NBA Thursday.
The Phoenix Suns will square off with the Golden State Warriors in NBA action at Mortgage Matchup Center on Thursday, beginning at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Warriors as the most likely winner of the Warriors vs. Suns game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Suns lineup will feature stars like Devin Booker, Dillon Brooks and Collin Gillespie, while the Warriors will rely on Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler and Brandin Podziemski.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Warriors vs. Suns prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NBA game between the Warriors and Suns 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Warriors a 56% chance of beating the Suns. Our predicted final score has the Warriors winning 115-113.
According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and the Warriors and Suns each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 228.5-point over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Warriors vs. Suns odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Warriors | Suns |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -2 (-106) | +2 (-114) |
| Moneyline | -130 | +112 |
| Total | o228.5 (-115) | u228.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Warriors vs. Suns picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Warriors -2 | -106 |
| Moneyline | Warriors | -130 |
| Total | Under 228.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Thursday, the top play to make on this game is Warriors to win.
Warriors vs. Suns player props
Betting on Golden State vs. Phoenix NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Mortgage Matchup Center.
Stephen Curry is expected to lead the Warriors with 28 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists, while Devin Booker is projected to have 23 points, 4 rebounds and 7 assists for the Suns.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Warriors prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Warriors are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry | 28 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 48 |
| Jimmy Butler | 21 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 42 |
| B. Podziemski | 11 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 26 |
| Moses Moody | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 |
| Quinten Post | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22 |
Suns prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Suns:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker | 23 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 44 |
| Dillon Brooks | 18 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 31 |
| C. Gillespie | 14 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 33 |
| Mark Williams | 14 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 33 |
| Royce O'Neale | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 25 |
Warriors vs. Suns game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's action between the Suns and Warriors at Mortgage Matchup Center is scheduled to begin at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns
- Date: Thursday, December 18, 2025
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center
Conclusion
We predict the Warriors, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Suns on Thursday, with Stephen Curry projected for a game-high 48 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Warriors vs. Suns insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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