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Warriors vs. Suns prediction: Golden State to win, Stephen Curry projected for big game in Thursday's NBA matchup [12/18/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns predictions for NBA Thursday.
The Phoenix Suns and Golden State Warriors will meet in NBA action at Mortgage Matchup Center on Thursday, with tipoff at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Warriors as the most likely winner of the Warriors vs. Suns game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Suns lineup will feature players like Devin Booker, Dillon Brooks and Grayson Allen, while the Warriors will be led by Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler and Brandin Podziemski.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Warriors vs. Suns prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NBA game between the Warriors and Suns 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Warriors a 57% chance of defeating the Suns. Our predicted final score has the Warriors winning 116-113.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Warriors and Suns each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 229.5-point over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Warriors vs. Suns odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Warriors | Suns |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -2.5 (-105) | +2.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | -130 | +120 |
| Total | o229.5 (-115) | u229.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Warriors vs. Suns picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Warriors -2.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Warriors | -130 |
| Total | Under 229.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Thursday, the top play to make on this game is Warriors to win.
Warriors vs. Suns player props
NBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on Thursday's Golden State vs. Phoenix matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Mortgage Matchup Center.
Stephen Curry is expected to lead the Warriors with 28 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists, while Devin Booker is projected to have 23 points, 4 rebounds and 7 assists for the Suns.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Warriors prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Warriors are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry | 28 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 48 |
| Jimmy Butler | 21 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 42 |
| B. Podziemski | 11 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 26 |
| Moses Moody | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 |
| Quinten Post | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22 |
Suns prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Suns:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker | 23 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 43 |
| Dillon Brooks | 17 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 29 |
| Grayson Allen | 14 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 30 |
| Mark Williams | 14 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 33 |
| C. Gillespie | 14 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 31 |
Warriors vs. Suns game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's game between the Suns and Warriors at Mortgage Matchup Center is scheduled to commence at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns
- Date: Thursday, December 18, 2025
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center
Conclusion
We predict the Warriors, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Suns on Thursday, with Stephen Curry projected for a game-high 48 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Warriors vs. Suns insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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