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Warriors vs. Timberwolves prediction: Minnesota to win, Stephen Curry projected for big game in Sunday's NBA matchup [1/25/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves predictions for NBA Sunday.
The Minnesota Timberwolves will face the Golden State Warriors in NBA action at Target Center on Sunday, starting at 5:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Timberwolves as the most likely winner of the Warriors vs. Timberwolves game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Timberwolves lineup will feature stars like Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle and Jaden McDaniels, while the Warriors will look to Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski and De'Anthony Melton.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Warriors vs. Wolves prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NBA game between the Warriors and Timberwolves 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Timberwolves a 70% chance of beating the Warriors. Our predicted final score has the Timberwolves winning 119-113.
According to our model, the Timberwolves (-7) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 236.5 points has a 55% chance of staying under.
Warriors vs. Timberwolves odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Warriors | Timberwolves |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +7 (-114) | -7 (-106) |
| Moneyline | +195 | -230 |
| Total | o236.5 (-110) | u236.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Warriors vs. Timberwolves picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Timberwolves -7 | -106 |
| Moneyline | Timberwolves | -230 |
| Total | Under 236.5 | -108 |
According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Under 236.5 total points.
Warriors vs. Timberwolves player props
NBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on the Golden State vs. Minnesota game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Target Center.
Stephen Curry is expected to lead the Warriors with 29 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists, while Anthony Edwards is projected to have 29 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists for the Timberwolves.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Warriors prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Warriors are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry | 29 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 50 |
| B. Podziemski | 13 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 30 |
| D. Melton | 13 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 26 |
| Moses Moody | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 21 |
| Draymond Green | 9 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 28 |
Timberwolves prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Timberwolves:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards | 29 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 49 |
| Julius Randle | 23 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 44 |
| Jaden McDaniels | 15 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 32 |
| Naz Reid | 15 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 33 |
| D. DiVincenzo | 14 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 33 |
Warriors vs. Wolves game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's game between the Timberwolves and Warriors at Target Center is scheduled to start at 5:30 PM ET.
- Who: Golden State Warriors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
- Date: Sunday, January 25, 2026
- Time: 5:30 PM ET/2:30PM PT
- Venue: Target Center
Conclusion
We predict the Timberwolves, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat the Warriors on Sunday, with Stephen Curry projected for a game-high 50 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Warriors vs. Timberwolves insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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