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Warriors vs. Timberwolves Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Warriors vs. Timberwolves NBA game on January 25, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
111
85
Jan 25, 10:30PM Target Center
Jan 25, 10:30PM Target Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Warriors | 24 | 23 | 38 | 26 | 111 |
Timberwolves | 19 | 27 | 17 | 22 | 85 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Warriors | 24 | 23 | 38 | 26 | 111 |
Timberwolves | 19 | 27 | 17 | 22 | 85 |
Q4 1:59 Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:12 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:35 Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
Q4 3:21 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:46 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 5:50 Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
Q4 6:39 Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
Q4 8:15 Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
Q4 8:18 Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q4 8:41 Warriors makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Quinten Post defensive rebound
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Trayce Jackson-Davis misses regular free throw 1 of 2
LJ Cryer defensive rebound
Joan Beringer defensive rebound
Leonard Miller offensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
Quinten Post turnover (offensive foul)
Timberwolves personal foul
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Quinten Post makes regular free throw 1 of 2
106-85
+1
Quinten Post makes regular free throw 2 of 2
107-85
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
105-85
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (LJ Cryer, Will Richard, Quinten Post, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Pat Spencer)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
103-82
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Rob Dillingham defensive rebound
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Timberwolves lineup change (Joan Beringer, Rob Dillingham, Leonard Miller, Joe Ingles, Jaylen Clark)
De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
97-79
Mike Conley defensive rebound
De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
97-77
Anthony Edwards misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
97-75
Warriors lineup change (Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, Will Richard, Gui Santos, De'Anthony Melton)
Timberwolves personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, Will Richard, Gui Santos)
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
97-73
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Anthony Edwards offensive rebound
Anthony Edwards offensive rebound
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
95-73
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
95-70
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Al Horford, Will Richard, Gui Santos)
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Donte DiVincenzo, Naz Reid, Mike Conley, Julius Randle)
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Buddy Hield, Gui Santos)
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Bones Hyland misses regular free throw 3 of 3
Warriors personal foul
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
90-68
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Warriors turnover
Warriors 60 second timeout
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors personal foul
+1
Donte DiVincenzo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
87-67
Timberwolves personal foul
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
85-66
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Buddy Hield, Gary Payton II)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
85-63
Buddy Hield defensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
82-61
Timberwolves turnover
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (Buddy Hield, Brandin Podziemski, Gui Santos, Quinten Post, De'Anthony Melton)
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
75-60
Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Naz Reid, Mike Conley, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
75-59
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
73-57
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Mike Conley, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
69-57
Warriors turnover
Warriors offensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
64-55
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Gui Santos, Quinten Post, De'Anthony Melton)
Warriors turnover
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Donte DiVincenzo misses two point tip layup
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Quinten Post)
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Quinten Post)
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Quinten Post)
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Quinten Post)
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
60-51
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Quinten Post)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
62-51
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
60-51
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
58-49
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Timberwolves turnover
Al Horford defensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
49-46
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Al Horford defensive rebound
Stephen Curry turnover
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Al Horford misses three point jump shot
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski)
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
47-46
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Will Richard turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
47-41
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Gary Payton II)
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
47-39
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
47-36
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
De'Anthony Melton makes regular free throw 2 of 2
42-33
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover
Brandin Podziemski turnover (offensive foul)
Gui Santos defensive rebound
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Timberwolves turnover
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
40-33
Warriors 60 second timeout
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
40-30
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
37-30
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Donte DiVincenzo, Mike Conley, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle)
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
35-27
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Al Horford, Buddy Hield, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton)
Stephen Curry offensive rebound
Moses Moody defensive rebound
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
32-24
Warriors turnover
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Bones Hyland, Rudy Gobert, Donte DiVincenzo, Julius Randle)
Warriors personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II, De'Anthony Melton)
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
29-19
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Warriors misses three point jump shot
End of 1st Quarter.
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Gary Payton II)
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Al Horford, Buddy Hield, De'Anthony Melton)
Al Horford defensive rebound
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
24-19
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Naz Reid misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+1
Mike Conley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
21-16
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Mike Conley, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Jaylen Clark)
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Buddy Hield, Brandin Podziemski, Will Richard, De'Anthony Melton)
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Mike Conley, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Jaylen Clark)
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Warriors defensive rebound
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Timberwolves turnover
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Mike Conley defensive rebound
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
21-16
Instant replay
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski)
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Mike Conley, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
19-13
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
16-11
Timberwolves turnover
Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Will Richard, Gui Santos, Quinten Post)
Timberwolves turnover
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Timberwolves turnover
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Quinten Post)
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
14-9
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
14-4
Al Horford defensive rebound
Timberwolves violation
Timberwolves turnover
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 2
9-2
Timberwolves turnover
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
8-2
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
2-2
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
0-2
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Donte DiVincenzo, Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 32 | T. Jackson-Davis | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| G | 3 | W. Richard | 10 | 2 | 1 |
| C | 21 | Q. Post | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| G | 61 | P. Spencer | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 33 | L. Miller | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| G | 22 | J. Clark | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| F | 19 | J. Beringer | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| G | 4 | R. Dillingham | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| F-G | 7 | J. Ingles | 3 | 0 | 1 |
Game Prediction Article
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Warriors vs. Timberwolves: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Warriors vs. Timberwolves
- Date: Sunday, January 25, 2026
- Time: 5:30 PM ET
- Venue: Target Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Timberwolves favored at -7
- Total (Over/Under): 236.5
- Moneyline Odds: Warriors +205, Timberwolves -225
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Warriors: 30%
- Timberwolves: 70%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Warriors 114-120 Timberwolves.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Warriors a win probability of 30%, while the Timberwolves have a win probability of 70%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Timberwolves are more likely to beat the Warriors in the NBA game at Target Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Warriors vs. Timberwolves predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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