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Warriors vs. Cavaliers prediction: Cleveland to win, Donovan Mitchell projected for big game in Saturday's NBA matchup [12/6/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Golden State Warriors vs Cleveland Cavaliers predictions for NBA Saturday.
The Cleveland Cavaliers will take on the Golden State Warriors in NBA action at Rocket Arena on Saturday, beginning at 7:30PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Cavaliers as the most likely winner of the Warriors vs. Cavaliers game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Cavaliers lineup will feature players like Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley and Darius Garland, while the Warriors will look to Jimmy Butler, Jonathan Kuminga and Brandin Podziemski.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Warriors vs. Cavs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NBA game between the Warriors and Cavaliers 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Cavaliers a 72% chance of defeating the Warriors. Our predicted final score has the Cavaliers winning 117-110.
According to our model, the Warriors (+7.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 227.5 points has a 51% chance of going over.
Warriors vs. Cavaliers odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Warriors | Cavaliers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +7.5 (-105) | -7.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | +250 | -300 |
| Total | o227.5 (-112) | u227.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Warriors vs. Cavaliers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Warriors +7.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Warriors | +250 |
| Total | Under 227.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Saturday, the top play to make on this game is Warriors +7.5 at the spread.
Warriors vs. Cavaliers player props
Looking for Golden State vs. Cleveland NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Rocket Arena.
Jimmy Butler is expected to lead the Warriors with 20 points, 6 rebounds and 5 assists, while Donovan Mitchell is projected to have 27 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists for the Cavaliers.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.
Warriors prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Warriors are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler | 20 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 39 |
| J. Kuminga | 13 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 25 |
| B. Podziemski | 12 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 26 |
| Moses Moody | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 21 |
| Draymond Green | 10 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 32 |
Cavaliers prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Cavaliers:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mitchell | 27 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 49 |
| Evan Mobley | 18 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 43 |
| Darius Garland | 18 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 36 |
| De'Andre Hunter | 16 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 28 |
| Jaylon Tyson | 13 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 30 |
Warriors vs. Cavs game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between the Cavaliers and Warriors at Rocket Arena is scheduled to start at 7:30PM ET.
- Who: Golden State Warriors vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
- Date: Saturday, December 6, 2025
- Time: 7:30PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Rocket Arena
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Conclusion
We predict the Cavaliers, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat the Warriors on Saturday, with Donovan Mitchell projected for a game-high 49 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Warriors vs. Cavaliers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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