Warriors vs. Cavaliers prediction: Cleveland to win, Donovan Mitchell projected for big game in Saturday's NBA matchup [12/6/2025]

NBA action continues on Saturday at 7:30PM ET as the Golden State Warriors take on the favored Cleveland Cavaliers at Rocket Arena.

Based on updated simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Cavaliers as the most likely winner of the Warriors vs. Cavaliers game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Cavaliers lineup will feature stars like Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley and Darius Garland, while the Warriors will look to Jonathan Kuminga, Brandin Podziemski and Moses Moody.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Warriors vs. Cavs prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NBA matchup between the Warriors and Cavaliers 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Cavaliers a 75% chance of defeating the Warriors. Our predicted final score has the Cavaliers winning 118-111.

According to our model, the Warriors (+8.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 230.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.

Warriors vs. Cavaliers odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Warriors vs. Cavaliers picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our best NBA bets for Saturday, the top play to make on this game is Warriors +8.5 at the spread.

Warriors vs. Cavaliers player props

NBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on the Warriors vs. Cavaliers game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Rocket Arena.

Jonathan Kuminga is expected to lead the Warriors with 18 points, 6 rebounds and 3 assists, while Donovan Mitchell is projected to have 27 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists for the Cavaliers.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.

Warriors prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Warriors are:

Cavaliers prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Cavaliers:

Warriors vs. Cavs game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's matchup between the Cavaliers and Warriors at Rocket Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:30PM ET.

• Who: Golden State Warriors vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
• Date: Saturday, December 6, 2025
• Time: 7:30PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Rocket Arena

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Conclusion

We predict the Cavaliers, with a 75% win probability, will likely beat the Warriors on Saturday, with Donovan Mitchell projected for a game-high 49 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Warriors vs. Cavaliers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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