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Read Article Hawthorn Hawks vs. Gold Coast Suns prediction: Hawks favored to win Friday's AFL Round 7 matchup [4/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get Hawthorn Hawks vs Gold Coast Suns predictions for AFL Friday.
The Hawthorn Hawks will square off with the Gold Coast Suns in Australian Football League (AFL) action at University of Tasmania Stadium on Friday, commencing at 10:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced AFL model projects the Hawks as the most likely winner of the Suns vs. Hawks game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Hawks vs. Suns prediction: Who will win Round 7 game?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's AFL game between the Suns and Hawks, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Hawks a 65% chance of beating the Suns.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Suns and Hawks each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 185.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Gold Coast vs. Hawthorn odds
We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Suns | Hawks |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +140 | -179 |
| Line (Spread) | +8.5 (-115) | -8.5 (-115) |
| Total | o185.5 (-115) | u185.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Suns vs. Hawks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Suns +8.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Hawks | -179 |
| Total | Under 185.5 | -115 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 185.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Hawks vs. Suns game-day updates and essential details
Friday's Australian rules football action between the Hawks and Suns at University of Tasmania Stadium is scheduled to commence at 10:30 PM ET.
- Who: Gold Coast Suns vs. Hawthorn Hawks
- Date: Friday, April 24, 2026
- Time: 10:30 PM ET/7:30PM PT
- Venue: University of Tasmania Stadium
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Hawks, with a 65% win probability, will likely beat the Suns in Friday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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