...
...
Read Article
Hawthorn Hawks vs. Gold Coast Suns prediction: Hawks favored to win Friday's AFL Round 7 matchup [4/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Hawthorn Hawks vs Gold Coast Suns predictions for AFL Friday.
AFL action continues on Friday at 10:30 PM ET as the Gold Coast Suns square off with the Hawthorn Hawks at Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced AFL model projects the Hawks as the most likely winner of the Suns vs. Hawks game.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Hawks vs. Suns prediction: Who will win Round 7 game?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's AFL game between the Suns and Hawks, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Hawks a 63% chance of defeating the Suns.
According to our model, the Hawks (-5.5) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 180.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.
Gold Coast vs. Hawthorn odds
We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Suns | Hawks |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +120 | -154 |
| Line (Spread) | +5.5 (-115) | -5.5 (-115) |
| Total | o180.5 (-115) | u180.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Suns vs. Hawks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Hawks -5.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Hawks | -154 |
| Total | Under 180.5 | -115 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Hawks -5.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Hawks vs. Suns game-day updates and essential details
Friday's Australian rules football matchup between the Hawks and Suns at Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 10:30 PM ET.
- Who: Gold Coast Suns vs. Hawthorn Hawks
- Date: Friday, April 24, 2026
- Time: 10:30 PM ET/7:30PM PT
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Hawks, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Suns in Friday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
Advertiser disclosure