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Girona vs. Mallorca prediction, odds, La Liga picks [5/1/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Girona vs Mallorca predictions for La Liga Friday.
Girona will face RCD Mallorca in La Liga action at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi on Friday, commencing at 3:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven La Liga model predicts Girona as the most likely winner of the Girona vs. RCD Mallorca game.
This article offers further insights into Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Girona vs. RCD Mallorca prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's La Liga match between Girona and RCD Mallorca, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently suggests a 46.0% chance of Girona winning, a 28.4% chance for RCD Mallorca, and a 25.5% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.
Girona vs. RCD Mallorca odds
We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Girona | RCD Mallorca | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +110 | +270 | +250 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -130 | -105 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Girona vs. RCD Mallorca picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mallorca | +270 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | -105 |
According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mallorca to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Girona vs. RCD Mallorca: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| GIR 1-1 RCD | 12.1% |
| GIR 1-0 RCD | 10.7% |
| GIR 2-1 RCD | 9.2% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 53.1% chance of both sides finding the net and a 46.9% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Girona vs. Mallorca game-day updates and essential details
Friday's La Liga action between Girona and RCD Mallorca at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi is scheduled to commence in the United States at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: Girona vs. Mallorca
- Date: Friday, May 1, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Girona has a 46.0% win probability on Friday, RCD Mallorca has a 28.4% win probability, and there is a 25.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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