Girona vs. Mallorca prediction, odds, La Liga picks [5/1/2026]

Girona will square off with RCD Mallorca in La Liga action at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi on Friday, commencing at 3:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven La Liga model predicts Girona as the most likely winner of the Girona vs. RCD Mallorca game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's match, including best bets and picks.

Girona vs. RCD Mallorca prediction: Who will win?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's La Liga match between Girona and RCD Mallorca, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model indicates a 46.7% chance of Girona winning, a 27.8% chance for RCD Mallorca, and a 25.5% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 51% chance of staying under, according to our model.

Girona vs. RCD Mallorca odds

We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Girona	RCD Mallorca	Draw
-105	+300	+250

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-114	-109

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Girona vs. RCD Mallorca picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Moneyline	Mallorca	+300
Total Goals	Under 2.5	-109

According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mallorca to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Girona vs. RCD Mallorca: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
GIR 1-1 RCD	12.1%
GIR 1-0 RCD	10.8%
GIR 2-1 RCD	9.3%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 52.8% chance of both sides finding the net and a 47.2% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Girona vs. Mallorca game-day updates and essential details

Friday's La Liga game between Girona and RCD Mallorca at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi is scheduled to start in the United States at 3:00 PM ET.

• Who: Girona vs. Mallorca
• Date: Friday, May 1, 2026
• Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
• Venue: Estadio Municipal de Montilivi

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Girona has a 46.7% win probability on Friday, RCD Mallorca has a 27.8% win probability, and there is a 25.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.