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Girona vs. Celta Vigo prediction, odds, La Liga picks [3/1/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Girona vs Celta Vigo predictions for La Liga Sunday.
La Liga action continues on Sunday at 3:00 PM ET as Celta Vigo takes on Girona at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced La Liga model projects Girona as the most likely winner of the Girona vs. Celta Vigo game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Girona vs. Celta Vigo prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's La Liga match between Girona and Celta Vigo 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently suggests a 38.2% chance of Girona winning, a 35.0% chance for Celta Vigo, and a 26.8% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 53% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Girona vs. Celta Vigo odds
We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Girona | Celta Vigo | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +140 | +200 | +235 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -104 | -118 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Girona vs. Celta Vigo picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Celta Vigo | +200 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | -118 |
According to our best La Liga bets, the top play to make on this game is Celta Vigo to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Girona vs. Celta Vigo: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| GIR 1-1 CLV | 12.7% |
| GIR 1-0 CLV | 10.3% |
| GIR 0-1 CLV | 9.8% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 51.6% chance that both teams scoring, and a 48.4% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Girona vs. Celta Vigo game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's La Liga game between Girona and Celta Vigo at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi is scheduled to start in the USA at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: Girona vs. Celta Vigo
- Date: Sunday, March 1, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
World Cup 2026 watch: Luca de la Torre (USA)
Celta Vigo midfielder Luca de la Torre is firmly on the radar for USMNT fans this year as interest ramps up in the lead up to the FIFA World Cup 2026—an event already generating demand for World Cup predictions and early discussions about who will win the World Cup. With the United States set to face Australia, Paraguay, and one of Türkiye, Romania, Slovakia, or Kosovo in Group D next year, Torre's La Liga form will be watched closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Girona has a 38.2% win probability on Sunday, Celta Vigo has a 35.0% win probability, and there is a 26.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Girona vs. Celta Vigo insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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