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Girona vs. Celta Vigo Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Girona vs. Celta Vigo at the La Liga on March 1, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
Celta Vigo
2
1
Mar 1, 8PM Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
Girona
Mar 1, 8PM Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
GironaGIR
Score Summary
Celta VigoRCC
V. Vanat (35')
Soccer ball icon
F. Jutgla (58')
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Vitor Reis (o.g.) (70')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
GIR
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
RCC
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Yellow Card
A. Martinez (Girona) cautioned
89'
Yellow Card
W. Swedberg (Celta Vigo) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: M. Fernandez replaces C. Dominguez
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: J. Rueda replaces O. Mingueza
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: J. Roca replaces H. Rincon
81'
Yellow Card
C. Echeverri (Girona) cautioned
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: A. Antanon replaces F. Jutgla
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: J. El Abdellaoui replaces F. Lopez
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: A. Ruiz replaces V. Vanat
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: C. Echeverri replaces A. Witsel
70'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Celta Vigo by Vitor Reis (o.g.)
2-1
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: I. Martin replaces B. Gil
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: A. Ounahi replaces T. Lemar
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: W. Swedberg replaces H. Alvarez
58'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Celta Vigo by F. Jutgla, assisted by O. Mingueza
1-1
42'
Yellow Card
F. Jutgla (Celta Vigo) cautioned
35'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Girona by V. Vanat, assisted by A. Witsel
0-1

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Girona vs. Celta Vigo: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Girona vs. Celta Vigo prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Girona vs. Celta Vigo
  • Date: Sunday, March 1, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Girona +140, Celta Vigo +200, draw +235
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+112/-124)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Girona: 39.0%
  • Celta Vigo: 34.8%
  • Draw: 26.2%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Girona 1-1 Celta Vigo, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Girona is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 39.0% probability, while Celta Vigo sits at 34.8%, with the draw at 26.2%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Girona vs. Celta Vigo prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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