Girona vs. Celta Vigo Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Girona vs. Celta Vigo La Liga match on March 1, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Celta Vigo
2
1
Mar 1, 3:00 PM ET Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
Girona
Mar 1, 3:00 PM ET Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
GironaGIR
Score Summary
Celta VigoRCC
V. Vanat (35')
Soccer ball icon
F. Jutgla (58')
Soccer ball icon
Vitor Reis (o.g.) (70')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Girona
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Celta Vigo
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Yellow Card
A. Martinez (Girona) cautioned
89'
Yellow Card
W. Swedberg (Celta Vigo) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: M. Fernandez replaces C. Dominguez
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: J. Rueda replaces O. Mingueza
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: J. Roca replaces H. Rincon
81'
Yellow Card
C. Echeverri (Girona) cautioned
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: A. Antanon replaces F. Jutgla
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: J. El Abdellaoui replaces F. Lopez
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: A. Ruiz replaces V. Vanat
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: C. Echeverri replaces A. Witsel
70'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Celta Vigo by Vitor Reis (o.g.)
2-1
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: I. Martin replaces B. Gil
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: A. Ounahi replaces T. Lemar
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: W. Swedberg replaces H. Alvarez
58'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Celta Vigo by F. Jutgla, assisted by O. Mingueza
1-1
42'
Yellow Card
F. Jutgla (Celta Vigo) cautioned
35'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Girona by V. Vanat, assisted by A. Witsel
0-1

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Girona vs. Celta Vigo: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Girona vs. Celta Vigo
  • Date: Sunday, March 1, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Municipal de Montilivi

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Girona +140, Celta Vigo +200, draw +235
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+112/-124)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Girona: 39.0%
  • Celta Vigo: 34.8%
  • Draw: 26.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Girona 1-1 Celta Vigo (12.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Girona vs. Celta Vigo? Prediction & correct score

Girona is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 39.0%.

The most likely correct score is Girona 1-1 Celta Vigo.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

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