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Fresno State vs. Pepperdine prediction: Why Fresno State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [11/26/2025]

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Written by Mac Douglass

Get Fresno State vs Pepperdine predictions for college basketball Wednesday.

Fresno State-Pepperdine Predictions and Game Preview.
Fresno State vs. Pepperdine men's college basketball prediction for Wednesday, November 26, 2025.

Men's college basketball action continues on Wednesday at 7:00PM ET as Fresno State squares off with Pepperdine in men's college basketball action at Acrisure Arena.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model gives Fresno State a slight edge with a 52% win probability over Pepperdine.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's Fresno State vs. Pepperdine matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Fresno State vs. Pepperdine prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NCAA basketball matchup between Fresno State and Pepperdine 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Fresno State a 52% chance of beating Pepperdine. Our predicted score is Fresno State 74-74 Pepperdine.

According to our model, Pepperdine (+2.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 148.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

While there is no way for a men's college basketball game to end in a tie, our prediction of 74-74 is based on each team's average score in the above-mentioned simulations of Fresno State vs. Pepperdine.

 

Fresno State vs. Pepperdine odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Fresno State Pepperdine
Spread -2.5 (+100) +2.5 (-115)
Moneyline -130 +114
Total o148.5 (-105) u148.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Fresno State vs. Pepperdine picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Pepperdine +2.5 -115
Moneyline Pepperdine +114
Total Over 148.5 -105

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Pepperdine +2.5 at the spread.

 

Fresno State vs. Pepperdine game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's men's college basketball action between Pepperdine and Fresno State at Acrisure Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.

  • Who: Fresno State vs. Pepperdine
  • Date: Wednesday, November 26, 2025
  • Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
  • Venue: Acrisure Arena

 

Conclusion

We predict Fresno State, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat Pepperdine on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Fresno State vs. Pepperdine insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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