Fresno State vs. New Mexico prediction: New Mexico favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/21/2026]

New Mexico and Fresno State will meet in men's college basketball action at The Pit on Wednesday, starting at 9:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts New Mexico as the most likely winner of the Fresno State vs. New Mexico game.

This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Fresno State vs. New Mexico prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NCAA basketball game between Fresno State and New Mexico 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives New Mexico a 92% chance of beating Fresno State. Our predicted final score has New Mexico winning 84-68.

According to our model, New Mexico (-15.5) has a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 151.5 points has a 51% chance of going over.

Fresno State vs. New Mexico odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Fresno State vs. New Mexico picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is New Mexico -15.5 at the spread.

Fresno State vs. New Mexico game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's men's college basketball game between New Mexico and Fresno State at The Pit is scheduled to begin at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: Fresno State vs. New Mexico
• Date: Wednesday, January 21, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: The Pit

Conclusion

We predict New Mexico, with a 92% win probability, will likely beat Fresno State on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Fresno State vs. New Mexico insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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