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FSU vs. SMU prediction: SMU favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get FSU vs SMU predictions for college basketball Saturday.
SMU and FSU will meet in men's college basketball action at Moody Coliseum on Saturday, starting at 4:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model projects SMU as the most likely winner of the FSU vs. SMU game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
FSU vs. SMU prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NCAA basketball matchup between FSU and SMU 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives SMU an 82% chance of beating Florida State. Our predicted final score has SMU winning 85-74.
According to our model, Florida State (+11.5) has a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 163.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.
FSU vs. SMU odds
We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | FSU | SMU |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +11.5 (-110) | -11.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | +550 | -700 |
| Total | o163.5 (-112) | u163.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
FSU vs. SMU picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Florida State +11.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Florida State | +550 |
| Total | Under 163.5 | -108 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Florida State to win.
FSU vs. SMU game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's men's college basketball matchup between SMU and FSU at Moody Coliseum is scheduled to start at 4:00 PM ET.
- Who: Florida State vs. SMU
- Date: Saturday, January 24, 2026
- Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
- Venue: Moody Coliseum
Conclusion
We predict SMU, with an 82% win probability, will likely beat Florida State on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Florida State vs. SMU insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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