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FSU vs. Dayton prediction: Dayton favored to win men's college basketball matchup [12/16/2025]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get FSU vs Dayton predictions for college basketball Tuesday.

FSU-Dayton Predictions and Game Preview.
FSU vs. Dayton men's college basketball prediction for Tuesday, December 16, 2025.

Men's college basketball action continues on Tuesday at 7:00 PM ET as FSU takes on the favored Dayton in men's college basketball action at UD Arena.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model projects Dayton as the most likely winner of the FSU vs. Dayton game.

This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

FSU vs. Dayton prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NCAA basketball game between FSU and Dayton 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Dayton a 74% chance of defeating Florida State. Our predicted final score has Dayton winning 83-76.

According to our model, Dayton (-6.5) has a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 161.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.

 

FSU vs. Dayton odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type FSU Dayton
Spread +6.5 (-105) -6.5 (-112)
Moneyline +235 -290
Total o161.5 (-110) u161.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

FSU vs. Dayton picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Dayton -6.5 -112
Moneyline Dayton -290
Total Under 161.5 -105

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Dayton -6.5 at the spread.

 

FSU vs. Dayton game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's men's college basketball action between Dayton and FSU at UD Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.

  • Who: Florida State vs. Dayton
  • Date: Tuesday, December 16, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
  • Venue: UD Arena

Conclusion

We predict Dayton, with a 74% win probability, will likely beat Florida State on Tuesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Florida State vs. Dayton insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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