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FSU vs. Dayton prediction: Dayton favored to win men's college basketball matchup [12/16/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get FSU vs Dayton predictions for college basketball Tuesday.
Dayton and FSU are scheduled to meet in men's college basketball action at UD Arena on Tuesday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Dayton as the most likely winner of the FSU vs. Dayton game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
FSU vs. Dayton prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NCAA basketball matchup between FSU and Dayton 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Dayton a 73% chance of defeating Florida State. Our predicted final score has Dayton winning 83-76.
According to our model, Dayton (-6.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 162.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.
FSU vs. Dayton odds
We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | FSU | Dayton |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +6.5 (-108) | -6.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +230 | -275 |
| Total | o162.5 (-115) | u162.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
FSU vs. Dayton picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Dayton -6.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Dayton | -275 |
| Total | Under 162.5 | -105 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Dayton -6.5 at the spread.
FSU vs. Dayton game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's men's college basketball matchup between Dayton and FSU at UD Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Florida State vs. Dayton
- Date: Tuesday, December 16, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: UD Arena
Conclusion
We predict Dayton, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat Florida State on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Florida State vs. Dayton insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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