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Florida Atlantic vs. Memphis prediction: Why Memphis is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/29/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Florida Atlantic vs Memphis predictions for college basketball Thursday.
Men's college basketball action continues on Thursday at 8:00 PM ET as Florida Atlantic locks horns with Memphis in men's college basketball action at FedExForum.
The championship matchup pairs two 14–3 teams coming off sharply contrasting conference title games, with New England advancing through a low-scoring, snow-filled AFC Championship win over Denver and Seattle earning its place after a 31–27 NFC Championship thriller against the Rams.
The clash also spotlights two offensive focal points, with Drake Maye guiding New England through a composed, run-focused AFC title performance and Jaxon Smith-Njigba entering as Seattle’s primary playmaker following a 153-yard, one-touchdown outing in the NFC Championship.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model projects Memphis as the most likely winner of the Florida Atlantic vs. Memphis game.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Florida Atlantic vs. Memphis prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NCAA basketball matchup between Florida Atlantic and Memphis 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Memphis a 60% chance of defeating Florida Atlantic. Our predicted final score has Memphis winning 76-73.
According to our model, Florida Atlantic (+3.5) has a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 152.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.
Florida Atlantic vs. Memphis odds
We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Florida Atlantic | Memphis |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +3.5 (-110) | -3.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +150 | -162 |
| Total | o152.5 (-110) | u152.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Florida Atlantic vs. Memphis picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Florida Atlantic +3.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Florida Atlantic | +150 |
| Total | Under 152.5 | -108 |
According to our best men's college basketball bets, the top play to make on this game is Florida Atlantic +3.5 at the spread.
Florida Atlantic vs. Memphis game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's men's college basketball action between Memphis and Florida Atlantic at FedExForum is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Florida Atlantic vs. Memphis
- Date: Thursday, January 29, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: FedExForum
Conclusion
We predict Memphis, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat Florida Atlantic on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Florida Atlantic vs. Memphis insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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