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Elche vs. Villareal prediction, odds, La Liga picks [1/3/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Elche vs Villareal predictions for La Liga Saturday.
Elche and Villareal will meet in La Liga on Saturday, starting at 12:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced La Liga model predicts Villareal as the most likely winner of the Elche vs. Villareal game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Elche vs. Villareal prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's La Liga match between Elche and Villareal 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 31.8% chance of Elche winning, a 42.9% chance for Villareal, and a 25.2% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 52% chance of going over, according to our model.
Elche vs. Villareal odds
We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Elche | Villareal | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +225 | +120 | +255 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -130 | +106 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Elche vs. Villareal picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Elche | +225 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +106 |
According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Elche to win.
Elche vs. Villareal: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Elche 1-1 VIL | 11.9% |
| Elche 0-1 VIL | 9.5% |
| Elche 1-2 VIL | 9% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 55.8% chance of the yes hitting, and a 44.2% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Elche vs. Villareal game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's La Liga game between Elche and Villareal is scheduled to commence in the USA at 12:30 PM ET.
- Who: Elche vs. Villareal
- Date: Saturday, January 3, 2026
- Time: 12:30 PM ET/9:30AM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Elche has a 31.8% win probability on Saturday, Villareal has a 42.9% win probability, and there is a 25.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Elche vs. Villareal insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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