Elche vs. Villareal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Elche vs. Villareal La Liga match on January 3, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Villareal
3
1
Elche
ElcheELC
Score Summary
VillarealVIL
M. Neto (30')
Soccer ball icon
A. Moleiro (7')
Soccer ball icon
G. Mikautadze (13')
Soccer ball icon
A. Pedraza (83')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Elche
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Villareal
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 88'
    Yellow Card
    S. Cardona (Villarreal) cautioned
  2. 83'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Villarreal by A. Pedraza, assisted by S. Cardona
    3-1
  3. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: J. Foyth replaces S. Mourino
  4. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: Josan replaces A. Nunez
  5. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: A. Boayar replaces R. Mir
  6. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: R. Mendoza replaces M. Neto
  7. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: C. Macia replaces D. Parejo
  8. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: T. Oluwaseyi replaces G. Mikautadze
  9. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: J. Donald replaces M. Aguado
  10. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: G. Moreno replaces A. Perez
  11. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Villarreal: S. Cardona replaces N. Pepe
  12. 67'
    Yellow Card
    S. Comesana (Villarreal) cautioned
  13. 67'
    Yellow Card
    A. Febas (Elche) cautioned
  14. 67'
    Yellow Card
    P. Bigas (Elche) cautioned
  15. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: B. Diaby replaces D. Affengruber
  16. 50'
    Yellow Card
    G. Valera (Elche) cautioned
  17. 39'
    Yellow Card
    A. Perez (Villarreal) cautioned
  18. 30'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Elche by M. Neto, assisted by A. Febas
    2-1
  19. 13'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Villarreal by G. Mikautadze, assisted by N. Pepe
    2-0
  20. 7'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Villarreal by A. Moleiro, assisted by G. Mikautadze
    1-0

Elche vs. Villareal: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Elche vs. Villareal
  • Date: Saturday, January 3, 2026
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Elche +220, Villareal +130, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-122/+100)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Elche: 32.9%
  • Villareal: 41.7%
  • Draw: 25.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Elche 1-1 Villareal (12.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Elche vs. Villareal? Prediction & correct score

Villareal is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 41.7%.

The most likely correct score is Elche 1-1 Villareal.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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