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Elche vs. Rayo Vallecano prediction, odds, La Liga picks [12/21/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Elche vs Rayo Vallecano predictions for La Liga Sunday.
Elche will face Rayo Vallecano in La Liga action on Sunday, starting at 12:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven La Liga model predicts Elche as the most likely winner of the Elche vs. Rayo Vallecano game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Elche vs. Rayo Vallecano prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's La Liga match between Elche and Rayo Vallecano 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model suggests a 41.5% chance of Elche winning, a 30.4% chance for Rayo Vallecano, and a 28.1% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 59% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Elche vs. Rayo Vallecano odds
We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Elche | Rayo Vallecano | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +140 | +230 | +210 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +140 | -172 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Elche vs. Rayo Vallecano picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rayo Vallecano | +230 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | +140 |
According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Rayo Vallecano to win.
Elche vs. Rayo Vallecano: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Elche 1-1 RAY | 13.1% |
| Elche 1-0 RAY | 12.6% |
| Elche 0-1 RAY | 10.4% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 46.4% chance that both teams scoring, and a 53.6% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Elche vs. Rayo Vallecano game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's La Liga game between Elche and Rayo Vallecano is scheduled to commence in the United States at 12:30 PM ET.
- Who: Elche vs. Rayo Vallecano
- Date: Sunday, December 21, 2025
- Time: 12:30 PM ET/9:30AM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Elche has a 41.5% win probability on Sunday, Rayo Vallecano has a 30.4% win probability, and there is a 28.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Elche vs. Rayo Vallecano insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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