Elche vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Elche vs. Rayo Vallecano La Liga match on December 21, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Rayo Vallecano
0
4
Elche
ElcheELC
Score Summary
Rayo VallecanoRVC
H. Fort (6')
Soccer ball icon
A. Rodriguez (67')
Soccer ball icon
G. Valera (70')
Soccer ball icon
M. Neto (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Elche
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Rayo Vallecano
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Elche by M. Neto, assisted by Josan
    0-4
  2. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: A. Boayar replaces R. Mir
  3. 84'
    Yellow Card
    Josan (Elche) cautioned
  4. 82'
    Yellow Card
    F. Lejeune (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
  5. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: L. Petrot replaces P. Bigas
  6. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: Y. Santiago replaces A. Rodriguez
  7. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: Josan replaces M. Aguado
  8. 79'
    Yellow Card
    A. Febas (Elche) cautioned
  9. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Luiz Felipe replaces N. Mendy
  10. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: J. Vertrouwd replaces Pacha
  11. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: G. Gumbau replaces U. Lopez
  12. 70'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Elche by G. Valera, assisted by A. Rodriguez
    0-3
  13. 67'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Elche by A. Rodriguez, assisted by P. Bigas
    0-2
  14. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: P. Diaz replaces O. Valentin
  15. 57'
    Yellow Card
    U. Lopez (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
  16. 33'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: F. Perez replaces I. Balliu
  17. 22'
    Yellow Card
    N. Mendy (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
  18. 12'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: M. Neto replaces H. Fort
  19. 6'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Elche by H. Fort, assisted by A. Rodriguez
    0-1

Elche vs. Rayo Vallecano: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Elche vs. Rayo Vallecano
  • Date: Sunday, December 21, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Elche +150, Rayo Vallecano +220, draw +195
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+145/-190)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Elche: 40.1%
  • Rayo Vallecano: 31.3%
  • Draw: 28.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Elche 1-1 Rayo Vallecano (13.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Elche vs. Rayo Vallecano? Prediction & correct score

Elche is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 40.1%.

The most likely correct score is Elche 1-1 Rayo Vallecano.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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