Oilers vs. Capitals prediction: Why Washington is favored to win Wednesday's NHL matchup [11/19/2025]

The Washington Capitals will face the Edmonton Oilers, in what is expected to be a tight NHL game, at Capital One Arena on Wednesday, starting at 7:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Capitals a slight edge with a 52% win probability over the Oilers.

This article offers further insights into Wednesday's Oilers vs. Capitals matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Oilers vs. Caps prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NHL matchup between the Oilers and Capitals 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Capitals a 52% chance of defeating the Oilers.

According to our model, the Oilers (+1.5) have a 69% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of six goals has a 51% chance of going over.

Oilers vs. Capitals odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Oilers	Capitals
Puck Line	+1.5 (-250)	-1.5 (+205)
Moneyline	+100	-118
Total	o6 (-115)	u6 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Oilers vs. Capitals picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Capitals -1.5	+205
Moneyline	Capitals	-118
Total	Under 6	-105

According to our best NHL bets, the top play to make on this game is Capitals -1.5 at the spread.

Oilers vs. Capitals player props

Who will score a goal in Oilers vs. Capitals?

According to our model, Leon Draisaitl is most likely to score an anytime goal in Oilers vs. Capitals.

Our projections give Draisaitl a 44.6% chance of scoring a goal at Capital One Arena, while the star is a 9.2% chance of registering the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Edmonton Oilers

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Leon Draisaitl	44.6%
Zach Hyman	35.9%
Connor McDavid	35.5%
Jack Roslovic	26.9%
Andrew Mangiapane	15.5%

Washington Capitals

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Alex Ovechkin	33.1%
Dylan Strome	31.5%
Tom Wilson	30.5%
Aliaksei Protas	29.0%
Connor McMichael	22.0%

First goal scorer predictions

Edmonton Oilers

Player	First Goal Probability
Leon Draisaitl	9.2%
Connor McDavid	7.1%
Zach Hyman	6.8%
Jack Roslovic	5.2%
Andrew Mangiapane	2.9%

Washington Capitals

Player	First Goal Probability
Alex Ovechkin	6.6%
Dylan Strome	6.0%
Tom Wilson	5.6%
Aliaksei Protas	5.6%
Connor McMichael	3.9%

Oilers vs. Caps game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's game between the Capitals and Oilers at Capital One Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Edmonton Oilers vs. Washington Capitals
• Date: Wednesday, November 19, 2025
• Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Capital One Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Capitals, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Oilers on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Oilers vs. Capitals insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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