Oilers vs. Capitals Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Oilers vs. Capitals NHL game on November 19, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL sport icon
NHL
Oilers
4
7
Capital One Arena
Capitals
Capital One Arena
TEAM123T
Oilers
2 0 2 4
Capitals
3 1 3 7
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Oilers
    0%
  • Capitals
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Oilers
2 0 2 4
Capitals
3 1 3 7
P3 19:28 Shot missed by Tom Wilson
P3 19:13 Shot on goal by Trent Frederic saved by Logan Thompson
P3 19:12 Shot on goal by Matt Savoie saved by Logan Thompson
P3 18:59 Goal scored by Tom Wilson assisted by Connor McMichael (Empty Net)
P3 18:34 Shot missed by Leon Draisaitl
P3 16:14 Shot missed by Evan Bouchard
P3 15:33 Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Logan Thompson
P3 15:26 Jack Roslovic shot blocked by Connor McMichael
P3 14:16 Shot missed by Connor McDavid
P3 14:05 Jake Walman shot blocked by Aliaksei Protas
P3 13:59 Shot missed by Connor McDavid
P3 13:25 Power play - Justin Sourdif shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
P3 11:30 Shot on goal by Mattias Ekholm saved by Logan Thompson
P3 11:28 Shot on goal by Jake Walman saved by Logan Thompson
P3 11:23 Shot missed by Vasily Podkolzin
P3 10:21 Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Logan Thompson
P3 09:46 Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 09:16 Shot on goal by Ty Emberson saved by Logan Thompson
P3 09:10 Matt Savoie shot blocked by Ethen Frank
P3 07:47 Power play - Goal scored by Leon Draisaitl assisted by Connor McDavid and Evan Bouchard
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Tom Wilson
  3. P3 19:27
    David Tomasek won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in neutral zone
  4. P3 19:16
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  5. P3 19:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Trent Frederic saved by Logan Thompson
  6. P3 19:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Savoie saved by Logan Thompson
  7. P3 18:59
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against David Tomasek in neutral zone
  8. P3 18:59
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Tom Wilson assisted by Connor McMichael (Empty Net)
    4-6
  9. P3 18:36
    Jack Roslovic won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  10. P3 18:36
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  11. P3 18:34
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Leon Draisaitl
  12. P3 18:12
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
  13. P3 18:12
    Stoppage - Icing
  14. P3 16:42
    Connor McMichael won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
  15. P3 16:42
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  16. P3 16:28
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
  17. P3 16:28
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
  18. P3 16:28
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  19. P3 16:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Evan Bouchard
  20. P3 15:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Logan Thompson
  21. P3 15:26
    SHOT
    Jack Roslovic shot blocked by Connor McMichael
  22. P3 14:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor McDavid
  23. P3 14:05
    SHOT
    Jake Walman shot blocked by Aliaksei Protas
  24. P3 13:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor McDavid
  25. P3 13:25
    SHOT
    Power play - Justin Sourdif shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
  26. P3 13:21
    Power play - Ryan Leonard won faceoff against Adam Henrique in offensive zone
  27. P3 13:21
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  28. P3 11:39
    Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Adam Henrique in offensive zone
  29. P3 11:39
    Penalty to Mattias Ekholm 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Dylan Strome)
  30. P3 11:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mattias Ekholm saved by Logan Thompson
  31. P3 11:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Walman saved by Logan Thompson
  32. P3 11:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Vasily Podkolzin
  33. P3 10:54
    Adam Henrique won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
  34. P3 10:54
    Stoppage - Offside
  35. P3 10:43
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Adam Henrique in neutral zone
  36. P3 10:43
    Stoppage - Offside
  37. P3 10:23
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  38. P3 10:23
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  39. P3 10:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Logan Thompson
  40. P3 09:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Stuart Skinner
  41. P3 09:40
    Connor McDavid won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
  42. P3 09:40
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  43. P3 09:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ty Emberson saved by Logan Thompson
  44. P3 09:10
    SHOT
    Matt Savoie shot blocked by Ethen Frank
  45. P3 07:47
    Trent Frederic won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
  46. P3 07:47
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Leon Draisaitl assisted by Connor McDavid and Evan Bouchard
    4-5
  47. P3 07:34
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Logan Thompson
  48. P3 07:10
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Oilers shot blocked by teammate
  49. P3 07:01
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Leon Draisaitl
  50. P3 06:53
    Power play - Adam Henrique won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  51. P3 06:53
    Penalty to John Carlson 2 minutes for Hooking
  52. P3 06:37
    Connor McDavid won faceoff against Aliaksei Protas in neutral zone
  53. P3 06:37
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Anthony Beauvillier
    3-5
  54. P3 06:24
    SHOT
    Andrew Mangiapane shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
  55. P3 06:13
    David Tomasek won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  56. P3 06:13
    Stoppage - Icing
  57. P3 06:03
    David Tomasek won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in neutral zone
  58. P3 06:03
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  59. P3 05:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
  60. P3 05:39
    SHOT
    Trent Frederic shot blocked by Tom Wilson
  61. P3 05:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Adam Henrique
  62. P3 04:00
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Jack Roslovic in neutral zone
  63. P3 04:00
    Stoppage - Offside
  64. P3 03:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by David Tomasek saved by Logan Thompson
  65. P3 03:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Logan Thompson
  66. P3 03:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Martin Fehervary saved by Stuart Skinner
  67. P3 03:06
    SHOT
    Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Tom Wilson
  68. P3 02:41
    Connor McDavid won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
  69. P3 02:41
    GOAL
    Goal scored by David Tomasek assisted by Andrew Mangiapane and Mattias Janmark
    3-4
  70. P3 02:38
    Jakob Chychrun credited with hit on Mattias Janmark in defensive zone
  71. P3 02:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sonny Milano saved by Stuart Skinner
  72. P3 02:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sonny Milano
  73. P3 01:36
    Giveaway by Matt Savoie in offensive zone
  74. P3 01:18
    Ryan Leonard won faceoff against Trent Frederic in offensive zone
  75. P3 00:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Logan Thompson
  76. P3 00:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jake Walman
  77. P3 00:33
    Jack Roslovic won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  78. P3 00:33
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  79. P3 00:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Logan Thompson
  80. P3 00:15
    Giveaway by Andrew Mangiapane in defensive zone
  81. P3 00:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
  82. P3 00:00
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
  83. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  84. P2 19:57
    SHOT
    Jake Walman shot blocked by Dylan Strome
  85. P2 19:49
    Adam Henrique won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
  86. P2 19:49
    Stoppage - Icing
  87. P2 19:06
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
  88. P2 18:49
    SHOT
    Connor McDavid shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
  89. P2 18:26
    Connor McMichael won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
  90. P2 18:26
    Stoppage - Icing
  91. P2 18:13
    Connor McMichael won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
  92. P2 18:13
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  93. P2 18:01
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mattias Janmark
  94. P2 17:52
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mattias Janmark
  95. P2 16:52
    SHOT
    Adam Henrique shot blocked by Dylan Strome
  96. P2 15:02
    SHOT
    Power play - Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Anthony Beauvillier
  97. P2 14:11
    Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  98. P2 14:11
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  99. P2 14:11
    Penalty to Justin Sourdif 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Jake Walman)
  100. P2 13:41
    SHOT
    Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
  101. P2 12:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Stuart Skinner
  102. P2 11:49
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
  103. P2 11:49
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Ryan Leonard
    2-4
  104. P2 11:24
    SHOT
    Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Adam Henrique
  105. P2 09:39
    Zach Hyman credited with hit on John Carlson in neutral zone
  106. P2 09:28
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Jack Roslovic in neutral zone
  107. P2 09:28
    Stoppage - Offside
  108. P2 09:24
    Giveaway by Mattias Ekholm in neutral zone
  109. P2 09:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Logan Thompson
  110. P2 08:38
    SHOT
    Andrew Mangiapane shot blocked by Matt Roy
  111. P2 08:22
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
  112. P2 08:22
    Stoppage
  113. P2 08:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Andrew Mangiapane saved by Logan Thompson
  114. P2 07:30
    David Tomasek won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  115. P2 07:30
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  116. P2 07:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Sourdif saved by Stuart Skinner
  117. P2 06:48
    Adam Henrique won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
  118. P2 06:48
    Stoppage - Icing
  119. P2 06:22
    SHOT
    Matt Savoie shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
  120. P2 06:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Savoie saved by Logan Thompson
  121. P2 05:52
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Connor McDavid in defensive zone
  122. P2 05:52
    Stoppage - Icing
  123. P2 05:44
    Adam Henrique won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
  124. P2 05:44
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  125. P2 05:40
    SHOT
    Brett Kulak shot blocked by Connor McMichael
  126. P2 05:32
    SHOT
    Trent Frederic shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
  127. P2 05:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Vasily Podkolzin
  128. P2 04:36
    Vasily Podkolzin won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
  129. P2 04:36
    Stoppage - Offside
  130. P2 04:11
    SHOT
    Matt Roy shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
  131. P2 03:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sonny Milano
  132. P2 03:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matt Roy
  133. P2 03:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Justin Sourdif
  134. P2 03:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Martin Fehervary saved by Stuart Skinner
  135. P2 02:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
  136. P2 02:13
    Jack Roslovic won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
  137. P2 02:13
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  138. P2 02:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by Stuart Skinner
  139. P2 01:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Oilers
  140. P2 01:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Rasmus Sandin
  141. P2 01:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dylan Strome
  142. P2 01:05
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Adam Henrique in neutral zone
  143. P2 01:05
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  144. P2 00:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Andrew Mangiapane saved by Logan Thompson
  145. P2 00:19
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
  146. P2 00:00
    Connor McMichael won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
  147. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  148. P1 19:02
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Adam Henrique in offensive zone
  149. P1 19:02
    Stoppage - Icing
  150. P1 18:56
    Jack Roslovic won faceoff against Aliaksei Protas in defensive zone
  151. P1 18:56
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  152. P1 18:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ethen Frank saved by Stuart Skinner
  153. P1 17:59
    Giveaway by Logan Thompson in defensive zone
  154. P1 17:13
    SHOT
    Power play - Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Brandon Duhaime
  155. P1 17:11
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Mattias Ekholm saved by Logan Thompson
  156. P1 16:27
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
  157. P1 16:17
    SHOT
    Power play - Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
  158. P1 15:19
    Shorthanded - Connor McMichael won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
  159. P1 15:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Logan Thompson
  160. P1 14:17
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Connor McDavid in offensive zone
  161. P1 14:17
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  162. P1 14:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by Stuart Skinner
  163. P1 13:56
    Connor McDavid won faceoff against Connor McMichael in defensive zone
  164. P1 13:56
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  165. P1 13:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sonny Milano saved by Stuart Skinner
  166. P1 13:34
    David Tomasek won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in defensive zone
  167. P1 13:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Duhaime saved by Stuart Skinner
  168. P1 13:34
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  169. P1 12:17
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Adam Henrique in neutral zone
  170. P1 12:16
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Darnell Nurse assisted by Zach Hyman and Adam Henrique
    2-3
  171. P1 12:11
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Adam Henrique in defensive zone
  172. P1 12:11
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  173. P1 12:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Logan Thompson
  174. P1 11:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matt Savoie
  175. P1 11:01
    Jack Roslovic won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
  176. P1 11:01
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  177. P1 10:58
    SHOT
    Sonny Milano shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
  178. P1 10:56
    SHOT
    Hendrix Lapierre shot blocked by Jake Walman
  179. P1 10:51
    SHOT
    Ethen Frank shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
  180. P1 10:34
    David Tomasek won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in neutral zone
  181. P1 10:34
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Ryan Leonard
    1-3
  182. P1 08:24
    SHOT
    Zach Hyman shot blocked by Matt Roy
  183. P1 08:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Trevor van Riemsdyk saved by Stuart Skinner
  184. P1 07:37
    Adam Henrique won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
  185. P1 07:37
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  186. P1 07:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Logan Thompson
  187. P1 07:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor McDavid
  188. P1 07:05
    Connor McDavid won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
  189. P1 07:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Logan Thompson
  190. P1 06:04
    Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against David Tomasek in neutral zone
  191. P1 06:03
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Alex Ovechkin
    0-2
  192. P1 05:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Henrique saved by Logan Thompson
  193. P1 05:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor McDavid
  194. P1 04:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor McDavid
  195. P1 04:36
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Jack Roslovic in offensive zone
  196. P1 04:36
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  197. P1 04:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Trevor van Riemsdyk saved by Stuart Skinner
  198. P1 04:09
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Trevor van Riemsdyk
  199. P1 04:08
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
  200. P1 03:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor McMichael
  201. P1 03:42
    SHOT
    Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
  202. P1 03:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Logan Thompson
  203. P1 02:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Trent Frederic saved by Logan Thompson
  204. P1 02:35
    SHOT
    Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by David Tomasek
  205. P1 02:17
    Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against David Tomasek in neutral zone
  206. P1 02:16
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Aliaksei Protas
    0-1
  207. P1 02:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by Stuart Skinner
  208. P1 01:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Stuart Skinner
  209. P1 01:04
    SHOT
    Trevor van Riemsdyk shot blocked by Adam Henrique
  210. P1 00:21
    SHOT
    Andrew Mangiapane shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
  211. P1 00:00
    Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
  212. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Oilers
STATS
Capitals
30Shots on Goal21
54% Faceoff Win % 46%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins6
11Hits16
6 Shots Blocked 25
11Giveaways12
OilersEDM
CapitalsWSH
30Shots on Goal21
54% Faceoff Win % 46%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins6
11Hits16
6 Shots Blocked 25
11Giveaways12

Oilers vs. Capitals: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Oilers vs. Capitals
  • Date: Wednesday, November 19, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Capital One Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Capitals favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Oilers +108, Capitals -118

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Oilers: 48%
  • Capitals: 52%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Oilers a win probability of 48%, while the Capitals have a win probability of 52%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Capitals are more likely to beat the Oilers in the NHL game at Capital One Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Oilers vs. Capitals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.