Blues vs. Avalanche prediction: Why Colorado is favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [10/3/2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Saturday's NHL matchup between the Blues and Avalanche, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Avalanche a 66.3% chance of defeating the Blues. According to our model, the Blues (+1.5) have a 55.4% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 56.2% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Puck Line: Blues +1.5 (+100) / Avalanche -1.5 (-109)
• Moneyline: Blues +240, Avalanche -278
• Total: Over/Under 6.5 (+110/-120)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Puck line: Blues +1.5 @ +100 via bet365
• Moneyline: Blues @ +240 via bet365
• Total: Under 6.5 @ -120 via bet365

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Blues +1.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Blues vs. Avalanche player props

Who will score a goal in Blues vs. Avalanche?

According to our model, Nathan MacKinnon is most likely to score an anytime goal in Blues vs. Avalanche.

Our projections give MacKinnon a 43.4% chance of scoring a goal at Ball Arena, while the star is a 9.5% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

St. Louis Blues

• Dylan Holloway: 28.1% probability
• Robert Thomas: 26.0% probability
• Jimmy Snuggerud: 23.5% probability
• Pavel Buchnevich: 20.6% probability
• Mason McTavish: 19.3% probability

Colorado Avalanche

• Nathan MacKinnon: 43.4% probability
• Martin Necas: 32.8% probability
• Artturi Lehkonen: 28.8% probability
• Brock Nelson: 28.7% probability
• Cale Makar: 22.3% probability

First goal scorer predictions

St. Louis Blues

• Dylan Holloway: 5.3% probability
• Robert Thomas: 5.2% probability
• Jimmy Snuggerud: 3.9% probability
• Mason McTavish: 3.8% probability
• Pavel Buchnevich: 3.8% probability

Colorado Avalanche

• Nathan MacKinnon: 9.5% probability
• Martin Necas: 6.9% probability
• Artturi Lehkonen: 5.3% probability
• Brock Nelson: 5.2% probability
• Cale Makar: 4.3% probability

Game info & puck drop details

Saturday's action between the Avalanche and Blues at Ball Arena is scheduled to commence at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: St. Louis Blues vs. Colorado Avalanche
• Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: Ball Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Avalanche, with a 66.3% win probability, will likely beat the Blues in Saturday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.