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Oilers vs. Penguins prediction: Why Edmonton is favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [12/16/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Edmonton Oilers vs Pittsburgh Penguins predictions for NHL Tuesday.
The Pittsburgh Penguins will face the Edmonton Oilers in NHL action at PPG Paints Arena on Tuesday, commencing at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model projects the Oilers as the most likely winner of the Oilers vs. Penguins game.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Oilers vs. Penguins prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NHL game between the Oilers and Penguins 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Oilers a 55% chance of defeating the Penguins.
According to our model, the Penguins (+1.5) have a 66% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Oilers vs. Penguins odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Oilers | Penguins |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+170) | +1.5 (-194) |
| Moneyline | -142 | +122 |
| Total | o6.5 (-105) | u6.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Oilers vs. Penguins picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Penguins +1.5 | -194 |
| Moneyline | Penguins | +122 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | -108 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
Oilers vs. Penguins player props
Who will score a goal in Oilers vs. Penguins?
According to our model, Leon Draisaitl is most likely to score an anytime goal in Oilers vs. Penguins.
Our projections give Draisaitl a 44.4% chance of scoring a goal at PPG Paints Arena, while the star is an 8.9% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl | 44.4% |
| Zach Hyman | 39.5% |
| Connor McDavid | 39.3% |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 22.8% |
| Andrew Mangiapane | 16.7% |
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Sidney Crosby | 38.7% |
| Bryan Rust | 34.6% |
| Rickard Rakell | 30.2% |
| Anthony Mantha | 25.5% |
| Thomas Novak | 21.5% |
First goal scorer predictions
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl | 8.9% |
| Zach Hyman | 8.1% |
| Connor McDavid | 7.6% |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 3.9% |
| Matt Savoie | 2.6% |
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Sidney Crosby | 7.6% |
| Bryan Rust | 6.4% |
| Rickard Rakell | 5.4% |
| Anthony Mantha | 4.1% |
| Thomas Novak | 3.5% |
Oilers vs. Penguins game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's action between the Penguins and Oilers at PPG Paints Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Edmonton Oilers vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
- Date: Tuesday, December 16, 2025
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: PPG Paints Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Oilers, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Penguins on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Oilers vs. Penguins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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