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Oilers vs. Penguins Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Oilers vs. Penguins NHL game on December 16, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Oilers
6
4
Dec 17, 12:30AM PPG Paints Arena
Penguins
Dec 17, 12:30AM PPG Paints Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Oilers
2 2 2 6
Penguins
1 1 2 4
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
OilersEDM
Win %
100%
0%
PenguinsPIT
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Oilers
2 2 2 6
Penguins
1 1 2 4
P3 19:46 Goal scored by Danton Heinen assisted by Thomas Novak
P3 19:22 Danton Heinen shot blocked by Ty Emberson
P3 18:40 Shot missed by Connor McDavid
P3 17:37 Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 17:28 Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
P3 17:21 Shot missed by Kevin Hayes
P3 17:21 Shot on goal by Kevin Hayes saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 16:52 Goal scored by Bryan Rust assisted by Anthony Mantha and Erik Karlsson
P3 16:42 Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Ty Emberson
P3 16:33 Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 16:11 Shot missed by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
P3 16:04 Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 15:03 Shot missed by Parker Wotherspoon
P3 13:56 Trent Frederic shot blocked by Brett Kulak
P3 13:44 Ty Emberson shot blocked by Noel Acciari
P3 13:21 Shot missed by Connor McDavid
P3 13:17 Ty Emberson shot blocked by Jack St. Ivany
P3 13:12 Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 12:13 Power play - Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 11:54 Power play - Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Tristan Jarry
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:55
Alec Regula credited with hit on Thomas Novak in defensive zone
P3 19:46
Kevin Hayes won faceoff against Matt Savoie in neutral zone
P3 19:46
GOAL
Goal scored by Danton Heinen assisted by Thomas Novak
6-4
P3 19:24
Trent Frederic won faceoff against Kevin Hayes in defensive zone
P3 19:24
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 19:22
SHOT
Danton Heinen shot blocked by Ty Emberson
P3 18:41
Trent Frederic won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
P3 18:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor McDavid
P3 17:37
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 17:28
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
P3 17:23
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
P3 17:23
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 17:21
SHOT
Shot missed by Kevin Hayes
P3 17:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kevin Hayes saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 16:52
GOAL
Goal scored by Bryan Rust assisted by Anthony Mantha and Erik Karlsson
5-3
P3 16:51
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
P3 16:42
SHOT
Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Ty Emberson
P3 16:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 16:11
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
P3 16:06
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
P3 16:06
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 16:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 15:03
SHOT
Shot missed by Parker Wotherspoon
P3 13:56
SHOT
Trent Frederic shot blocked by Brett Kulak
P3 13:44
SHOT
Ty Emberson shot blocked by Noel Acciari
P3 13:21
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor McDavid
P3 13:17
SHOT
Ty Emberson shot blocked by Jack St. Ivany
P3 13:13
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Danton Heinen in offensive zone
P3 13:13
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 13:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 12:13
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 11:56
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Adam Henrique in offensive zone
P3 11:56
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 11:54
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 11:46
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
P3 09:34
Power play - Rickard Rakell credited with hit on Darnell Nurse in offensive zone
P3 08:59
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Vasily Podkolzin in neutral zone
P3 08:59
Stoppage - Hand Pass
P3 08:48
SHOT
Power play - Sidney Crosby shot blocked by Evan Bouchard
P3 08:32
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
P3 08:23
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
P3 08:14
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Adam Henrique in offensive zone
P3 08:14
Penalty to Ty Emberson 2 minutes for Misconduct
P3 07:49
SHOT
Shot missed by Rutger McGroarty
P3 07:42
SHOT
Kris Letang shot blocked by Ty Emberson
P3 07:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Shea
P3 07:33
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Connor McDavid in offensive zone
P3 07:33
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 07:31
SHOT
Jack St. Ivany shot blocked by Curtis Lazar
P3 07:23
SHOT
Brett Kulak shot blocked by Alec Regula
P3 06:47
Curtis Lazar won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
P3 06:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Vasily Podkolzin
P3 06:32
SHOT
Shot missed by Bryan Rust
P3 06:11
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
P3 06:11
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P3 05:28
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Adam Henrique in defensive zone
P3 05:28
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 05:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Quinn Hutson saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 04:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Kris Letang
P3 04:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Danton Heinen
P3 04:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 04:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 02:56
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
P3 02:47
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Matt Savoie in offensive zone
P3 02:47
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 02:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Tristan Jarry
P3 02:17
SHOT
Andrew Mangiapane shot blocked by Jack St. Ivany
P3 02:15
SHOT
Shot missed by Spencer Stastney
P3 00:00
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Adam Henrique in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 20:00
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Kevin Hayes
P2 19:02
Power play - Giveaway by Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
P2 18:14
Shorthanded - Adam Henrique won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P2 18:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 18:02
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
P2 17:38
Rickard Rakell credited with hit on Ty Emberson in offensive zone
P2 17:19
Curtis Lazar won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
P2 17:19
Stoppage - Offside
P2 16:54
Adam Henrique won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
P2 16:54
Stoppage - Offside
P2 16:38
Takeaway by Zach Hyman in defensive zone
P2 16:21
Danton Heinen credited with hit on Mattias Ekholm in offensive zone
P2 16:12
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
P2 16:12
Stoppage - Offside
P2 15:47
Oilers won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P2 15:46
Shorthanded - Curtis Lazar won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P2 15:46
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Curtis Lazar in offensive zone
P2 15:46
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 15:44
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ben Kindel saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 15:15
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Bryan Rust
P2 14:31
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 14:12
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 14:02
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Adam Henrique in offensive zone
P2 14:02
Penalty to Darnell Nurse 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 13:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Dewar saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 13:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 12:49
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins won faceoff against Danton Heinen in offensive zone
P2 12:36
SHOT
Kris Letang shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
P2 12:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bryan Rust saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 11:18
Matt Savoie won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
P2 11:18
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P2 11:01
SHOT
Brett Kulak shot blocked by Ty Emberson
P2 10:58
SHOT
Justin Brazeau shot blocked by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
P2 09:36
Adam Henrique won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
P2 09:34
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Evan Bouchard assisted by Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl
4-2
P2 09:28
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 08:53
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
P2 08:17
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Evan Bouchard
P2 08:06
Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
P2 08:06
Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
P2 08:06
Stoppage - TV timeout
P2 08:06
Penalty to Justin Brazeau 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Mattias Ekholm)
P2 07:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Evan Bouchard
P2 07:08
SHOT
Shot missed by Andrew Mangiapane
P2 06:24
Adam Henrique won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
P2 06:24
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Erik Karlsson assisted by Sidney Crosby and Rickard Rakell
3-2
P2 05:30
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Adam Henrique in offensive zone
P2 05:30
Penalty to Leon Draisaitl 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 05:30
SHOT
Oilers shot blocked by teammate
P2 04:51
SHOT
Ryan Shea shot blocked by Alec Regula
P2 04:49
Danton Heinen won faceoff against Vasily Podkolzin in offensive zone
P2 04:49
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 04:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 04:35
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Noel Acciari in neutral zone
P2 04:35
GOAL
Goal scored by Matt Savoie assisted by Alec Regula and Mattias Janmark
3-1
P2 04:32
SHOT
Penguins shot blocked by teammate
P2 04:17
Giveaway by Kevin Hayes in neutral zone
P2 03:48
SHOT
Trent Frederic shot blocked by Brett Kulak
P2 03:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Ekholm saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 03:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ty Emberson saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 03:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 02:26
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
P2 02:26
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Injury
P2 01:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Henrique saved by Stuart Skinner
P2 01:02
SHOT
Rutger McGroarty shot blocked by Alec Regula
P2 00:34
Adam Henrique won faceoff against Rutger McGroarty in neutral zone
P2 00:34
Stoppage - Offside
P2 00:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Tristan Jarry
P2 00:00
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Connor McDavid in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 19:48
SHOT
Thomas Novak shot blocked by Vasily Podkolzin
P1 19:15
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
P1 19:14
GOAL
Goal scored by Thomas Novak
2-1
P1 19:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 19:10
Curtis Lazar won faceoff against Thomas Novak in defensive zone
P1 19:10
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 19:08
SHOT
Danton Heinen shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
P1 18:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Spencer Stastney
P1 17:57
SHOT
Shot missed by Mattias Ekholm
P1 17:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Ekholm saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 17:29
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Connor McDavid in defensive zone
P1 17:29
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 17:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Bryan Rust
P1 16:16
SHOT
Brett Kulak shot blocked by Alec Regula
P1 15:51
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Curtis Lazar in offensive zone
P1 15:51
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 15:48
SHOT
Danton Heinen shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
P1 14:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor McDavid
P1 14:07
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor McDavid
P1 14:01
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
P1 14:01
Stoppage - Icing
P1 13:05
SHOT
Shot missed by Spencer Stastney
P1 13:01
SHOT
Shot missed by Vasily Podkolzin
P1 12:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 12:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Vasily Podkolzin saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 11:52
Adam Henrique won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
P1 11:50
GOAL
Goal scored by Connor McDavid assisted by Leon Draisaitl and Evan Bouchard
2-0
P1 11:38
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
P1 11:38
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Zach Hyman assisted by Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl
1-0
P1 11:26
Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
P1 11:26
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 11:24
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 11:03
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 10:44
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Leon Draisaitl
P1 10:38
Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
P1 10:38
Penalty to Brett Kulak 2 minutes for Delay of Game
P1 10:20
Shorthanded - Noel Acciari won faceoff against Connor McDavid in defensive zone
P1 10:20
Penalty to Bryan Rust 2 minutes for Misconduct
P1 10:17
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 10:02
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Leon Draisaitl
P1 09:38
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 09:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Leon Draisaitl
P1 09:14
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor McDavid
P1 09:12
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
P1 08:12
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 08:08
SHOT
Power play - Sidney Crosby shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
P1 07:55
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Justin Brazeau assisted by Ben Kindel
0-1
P1 07:51
Shorthanded - Adam Henrique won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
P1 07:36
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Kris Letang
P1 06:58
SHOT
Power play - Bryan Rust shot blocked by teammate
P1 06:41
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Vasily Podkolzin in neutral zone
P1 06:41
Stoppage - Offside
P1 06:14
Shorthanded - Curtis Lazar won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
P1 06:14
Stoppage - TV timeout
P1 06:14
Penalty to Mattias Ekholm 2 minutes for Misconduct
P1 06:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 05:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Stuart Skinner
P1 05:04
SHOT
Shot missed by Alec Regula
P1 04:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
P1 04:23
Adam Henrique won faceoff against Justin Brazeau in defensive zone
P1 04:23
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 04:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kevin Hayes saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 03:24
SHOT
Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Rickard Rakell
P1 03:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kevin Hayes saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 02:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Tristan Jarry
P1 02:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Novak
P1 02:33
SHOT
Shot missed by Oilers
P1 02:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Novak
P1 02:24
SHOT
Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Alec Regula
P1 01:33
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Adam Henrique in defensive zone
P1 01:33
Stoppage - Icing
P1 01:13
Connor Dewar credited with hit on Alec Regula in neutral zone
P1 00:56
SHOT
Shot missed by Leon Draisaitl
P1 00:00
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Oilers
STATS
Penguins
23Shots on Goal30
62% Faceoff Win % 38%
4/3 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 6/1
12Penalty Infraction Mins8
8Hits27
19Shots Blocked8
14Giveaways16
OilersEDM
PenguinsPIT
23Shots on Goal30
62% Faceoff Win % 38%
4/3 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 6/1
12Penalty Infraction Mins8
8Hits27
19Shots Blocked8
14Giveaways16

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Oilers vs. Penguins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Oilers vs. Penguins
  • Date: Tuesday, December 16, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: PPG Paints Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Oilers favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Oilers -140, Penguins +125

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Oilers: 55%
  • Penguins: 45%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Oilers a win probability of 55%, while the Penguins have a win probability of 45%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Oilers are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at PPG Paints Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Oilers vs. Penguins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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